Sport Picks
AFC Totton vs Chesham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League South 
Match Events
15'
15'
Kasimu H.
20'
20'
Lafleur A.
38'
38'
Kasimu H.
AI Match Summary
Chesham in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chesham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Totton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Chesham average 1.93 goals a game right now, well clear of AFC Totton's 1.07.
- Win probability leans AFC Totton's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AFC Totton Clean Sheet 13%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AFC Totton | Chesham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 National League South
AFC Totton vs Chesham
0:4
Mar 17, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs AFC Totton
1:2
Sep 2, 2025 National League South
AFC Totton vs Chesham
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Chesham vs AFC Totton
2:0
Dec 2, 2023 Southern League Premier South
AFC Totton vs Chesham
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AFC Totton Compare
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Chesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Kasimu H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lafleur A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AFC Totton 84 / 100
Chesham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AFC Totton Chesham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AFC Totton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chesham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
AFC Totton's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Away concern: Chesham has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AFC Totton VS Chesham
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
AFC Totton
(Home) 31 Oct
AFC Totton
1 : 3 Chelmsford
27 Oct
AFC Totton
1 : 0 Torquay
24 Oct
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 3 AFC Totton
17 Oct
Folkestone
2 : 1 AFC Totton
13 Oct
Ebbsfleet
5 : 0 AFC Totton
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
AFC Totton
1 : 3 Chelmsford
27 Oct
AFC Totton
1 : 0 Torquay
10 Oct
AFC Totton
0 : 1 Walton & Hersham
19 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 2 Gloucester City
12 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 1 Slough Town
Page 1 of 3
Chesham
(Away) 31 Oct
Chesham
2 : 2 Folkestone
27 Oct
Chesham
2 : 4 Farnham
24 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0 Chesham
20 Oct
Forest Green
5 : 0 Chesham
17 Oct
Chesham
0 : 0 Forest Green
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0 Chesham
20 Oct
Forest Green
5 : 0 Chesham
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4 Chesham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 35:10 | 31 |
| 2 | Truro | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Maidstone | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:10 | 28 |
| 5 | Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 34:23 | 27 |
| 6 | Farnham | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Billericay | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:16 | 25 |
| 8 | Tonbridge | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27:16 | 24 |
| 9 | Dagenham & Red. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:11 | 24 |
| 10 | Horsham FC | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21:16 | 22 |
| 11 | Dover Ath. | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 22 |
| 12 | Chelmsford | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 13 | Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 20 |
| 14 | Folkestone | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 15 | Weston-super-Mare | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 18 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12:31 | 17 |
| 17 | Braintree | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21:34 | 16 |
| 18 | AFC Totton | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 16 |
| 19 | Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 20 | Hemel Hempstead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:22 | 15 |
| 21 | Chesham | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20:32 | 11 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18:36 | 9 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15:39 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
