Sport Picks
AFC Totton vs Chesham
England
National League South The Snows Stadium, Totton 
Match Events
15'
15'
Kasimu H.
20'
20'
Lafleur A.
38'
38'
Kasimu H.
AI Match Summary
Chesham in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chesham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chesham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- AFC Totton have won more games recently than Chesham.
- Win probability leans Chesham's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AFC Totton Clean Sheet 15%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AFC Totton | Chesham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 National League South
AFC Totton vs Chesham
0:4
Mar 17, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs AFC Totton
1:2
Sep 2, 2025 National League South
AFC Totton vs Chesham
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Chesham vs AFC Totton
2:0
Dec 2, 2023 Southern League Premier South
AFC Totton vs Chesham
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AFC Totton Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Chesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Kasimu H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lafleur A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AFC Totton 10 / 100
Chesham 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AFC Totton Chesham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chesham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AFC Totton's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Chesham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: AFC Totton remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AFC Totton VS Chesham
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
AFC Totton
(Home) 12 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 1 Slough Town
08 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 1 AFC Totton
05 Sept
AFC Totton
4 : 1 Hampton & Richmond
31 Aug
Maidenhead
1 : 1 AFC Totton
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4 Chesham
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 1 Slough Town
05 Sept
AFC Totton
4 : 1 Hampton & Richmond
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4 Chesham
18 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 3 Dorking Wanderers
15 Aug
AFC Totton
1 : 0 Billericay
Page 1 of 4
Chesham
(Away) 12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2 Dover Ath.
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4 Chesham
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4 Chesham
19 Aug
Farnborough
1 : 0 Chesham
15 Aug
Braintree
3 : 2 Chesham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
