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AFC Totton vs Horsham FC

England England

National League South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Rose D.
63' Event
Linton M.
68' Event
Bartolo J.

AI Match Summary

AFC Totton in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Totton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
AFC Totton
22%
Draws
60%
Horsham FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Horsham FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • AFC Totton average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Horsham FC's 0.88.
  • Horsham FC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and AFC Totton have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
AFC Totton Clean Sheet 16%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Totton Horsham FC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 National League South
AFC Totton vs Horsham FC
3:0
Sep 20, 2025 National League South
Horsham FC vs AFC Totton
0:2
Dec 9, 2023 FA Trophy
Horsham FC vs AFC Totton
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Totton Compare

Top Goalscorer Rose D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Linton M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Horsham FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Totton 19 / 100
Horsham FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Totton Horsham FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Totton found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Horsham FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: AFC Totton stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Totton VS Horsham FC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036