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AFC Totton vs Winchester City Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Southern League Premier South 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Lee T.
25' Event
Buckley C.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 game between AFC Totton and Winchester City finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Totton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AFC Totton
15%
Draws
49%
Winchester City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Winchester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Winchester City haven't matched AFC Totton's recent run of results.
  • AFC Totton are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AFC Totton have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
AFC Totton Clean Sheet 15%
Winchester City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Totton Winchester City
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.35 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2025 Southern League Premier South
AFC Totton vs Winchester City
2:0
Dec 26, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Winchester City vs AFC Totton
1:4
Dec 16, 2023 Southern League Premier South
AFC Totton vs Winchester City
1:1
Aug 19, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Winchester City vs AFC Totton
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Totton Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Winchester City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Totton 41 / 100
Winchester City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Totton Winchester City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Winchester City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

AFC Totton found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).

Away concern: Winchester City has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AFC Totton VS Winchester City
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Totton

(Home)
26 Sept
Dover Ath.
2 : 0
AFC Totton
19 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 2
Gloucester City
12 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 1
Slough Town
08 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 1
AFC Totton
05 Sept
AFC Totton
4 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
Page 1 of 7

Winchester City

(Away)
29 Aug
Didcot
2 : 1
Winchester City
20 Sept
Thame United
3 : 1
Winchester City
06 Sept
Winchester City
2 : 0
Frome Town
02 Sept
Fareham
1 : 0
Winchester City
30 Aug
Winchester City
0 : 0
Fareham
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Merthyr Town 42 27 10 5 105:46 91
2 AFC Totton 42 25 13 4 85:35 88
3 Walton & Hersham 42 24 11 7 90:54 83
4 Gloucester City 42 21 14 7 81:53 77
5 Dorchester 42 19 18 5 75:48 75
6 Havant & Waterlooville 42 21 11 10 84:49 74
7 Hungerford 42 16 11 15 63:55 59
8 Hanwell Town 42 15 13 14 58:62 58
9 Taunton Town 42 13 18 11 64:58 57
10 Wimborne 42 15 12 15 49:56 57
11 Sholing 42 14 10 18 59:68 52
12 Gosport Borough 42 13 12 17 53:61 51
13 Plymouth Parkway 42 14 8 20 63:77 50
14 Poole Town 42 13 10 19 48:62 49
15 Basingstoke 42 11 15 16 62:64 48
16 Chertsey Town 42 14 5 23 67:82 47
17 Tiverton 42 12 11 19 39:71 47
18 Bracknell Town 42 11 13 18 57:72 46
19 Winchester City 42 12 10 20 54:74 46
20 Swindon Supermarine 42 12 8 22 60:78 44
21 Frome Town 42 9 13 20 39:60 40
22 Marlow 42 5 6 31 45:115 21
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 (Play Offs)