Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC vs Hardenberg

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sportpark Goed Genoeg, Amsterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Steenvoorden M.
24' Event
de Mooij S.
Assist: Claver C.
46'
Sub
Olde Weghuis T. In: Bouws D.
Out: Olde Weghuis T.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie game between AFC and Hardenberg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
AFC
30%
Draws
37%
Hardenberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hardenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hardenberg come out ahead of AFC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
AFC Clean Sheet 10%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Hardenberg
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Hardenberg
2:2
May 23, 2026 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Hardenberg
2:3
Dec 13, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs AFC
4:1
May 17, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs AFC
0:2
Dec 7, 2024 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Hardenberg
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Compare

Top Goalscorer de Mooij S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gouda D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Hardenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Scholte B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Witteveen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC 30 / 100
Hardenberg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Hardenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hardenberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: AFC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC VS Hardenberg
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC

(Home)
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
05 Sept
Rijnsburgse Boys
3 : 0
AFC
01 Sept
Be Quick 1887
0 : 2
AFC
29 Aug
AFC
2 : 0
Rohda Raalte
22 Aug
GVVV
2 : 3
AFC
Page 1 of 6

Hardenberg

(Away)
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
05 Sept
Hardenberg
2 : 2
De Treffers
29 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 3
Hardenberg
22 Aug
Hardenberg
2 : 1
Jong Almere City
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3
Hardenberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 6 5 0 1 17:4 15
2 Kozakken Boys 6 4 1 1 17:10 13
3 De Treffers 6 3 3 0 14:6 12
4 Hardenberg 6 3 2 1 13:9 11
5 IJsselmeervogels 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Spakenburg 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
7 AFC 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
8 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 6 2 3 1 18:12 9
9 RKAV Volendam 6 2 3 1 7:10 9
10 Katwijk 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
11 Barendrecht 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
12 Rijnsburgse Boys 6 2 1 3 11:18 7
13 HSV Hoek 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
14 Koninklijke HFC 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
15 VV Kloetinge 6 1 2 3 7:14 5
16 Jong Almere City 6 1 1 4 10:12 4
17 GVVV 5 1 0 4 8:14 3
18 Rohda Raalte 6 0 0 6 3:17 0
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)