Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC vs Katwijk

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sportpark Goed Genoeg, Amsterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sub
de Mooij S. In: Klopper M.
Out: de Mooij S.
28'
van Wageningen D.
30'
van der Meer O.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie game between AFC and Katwijk finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Katwijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
AFC
20%
Draws
33%
Katwijk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Katwijk come out ahead of AFC on wins alone.
  • Model gives AFC a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
AFC Clean Sheet 16%
Katwijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Katwijk
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Katwijk
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Katwijk
2:2
Oct 11, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs AFC
0:1
Jan 18, 2025 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Katwijk
1:4
Aug 24, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs AFC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Katwijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Korte G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC 66 / 100
Katwijk 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Katwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Katwijk let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

AFC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AFC VS Katwijk
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC

(Home)
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6
AFC
19 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
1 : 3
AFC
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
05 Sept
Rijnsburgse Boys
3 : 0
AFC
01 Sept
Be Quick 1887
0 : 2
AFC
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Katwijk

(Away)
19 Sept
Katwijk
1 : 2
De Treffers
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Katwijk
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Almere City
02 Sept
TOGB
3 : 2
Katwijk
29 Aug
Barendrecht
0 : 2
Katwijk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 6 5 0 1 17:4 15
2 Kozakken Boys 6 4 1 1 17:10 13
3 De Treffers 6 3 3 0 14:6 12
4 Hardenberg 6 3 2 1 13:9 11
5 IJsselmeervogels 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Spakenburg 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
7 AFC 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
8 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 6 2 3 1 18:12 9
9 RKAV Volendam 6 2 3 1 7:10 9
10 Katwijk 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
11 Barendrecht 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
12 Rijnsburgse Boys 6 2 1 3 11:18 7
13 HSV Hoek 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
14 Koninklijke HFC 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
15 VV Kloetinge 6 1 2 3 7:14 5
16 Jong Almere City 6 1 1 4 10:12 4
17 GVVV 5 1 0 4 8:14 3
18 Rohda Raalte 6 0 0 6 3:17 0
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)