Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London

AFC Wimbledon

3 - 1

Crystal Palace U21

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Lewis J.

Assist: McCoy-Splatt D.

46'

Sub

Hutchinson S. In: Jennings K.

Out: Hutchinson S.

46'

Sub

Lewis J. In: Hughes B.

Out: Lewis J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with AFC Wimbledon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

AFC Wimbledon

20%

Draws

40%

Crystal Palace U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Crystal Palace U21 come out ahead of AFC Wimbledon on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Crystal Palace U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor AFC Wimbledon, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
AFC Wimbledon have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 20%

Crystal Palace U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AFC Wimbledon	Crystal Palace U21
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	9	13
Draws	4	4
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	1	1.69
Goals Conceded	1.61	1.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.26	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 EFL Trophy

AFC Wimbledon vs Crystal Palace U21

3:1

Nov 7, 2023 EFL Trophy

AFC Wimbledon vs Crystal Palace U21

2:0

Oct 26, 2021 EFL Trophy

AFC Wimbledon vs Crystal Palace U21

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Wimbledon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lewis J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hackford A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.97

Avg xA / game 0.63

Crystal Palace U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Wimbledon 31 / 100

Crystal Palace U21 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AFC Wimbledon Crystal Palace U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Wimbledon Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crystal Palace U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

AFC Wimbledon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

AFC Wimbledon found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

AFC Wimbledon VS Crystal Palace U21

1.13 Goals Scored 1

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.4

75% Over 1.5 80%

63% Over 2.5 40%

13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Wimbledon

(Home)

07 Sept

Bromley

0 : 2

AFC Wimbledon

02 Sept

Burton

4 : 1

AFC Wimbledon

30 Aug

AFC Wimbledon

1 : 0

Wigan

27 Aug

Fulham

3 : 0

AFC Wimbledon

22 Aug

AFC Wimbledon

0 : 0

Reading

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Crystal Palace U21

(Away)

02 Sept

Crystal Palace U21

2 : 1

PSG U21

28 Aug

Aston Villa U21

0 : 2

Crystal Palace U21

22 Aug

Arsenal U21

1 : 1

Crystal Palace U21

21 Jul

Dagenham & Red.

5 : 0

Crystal Palace U21

04 May

Crystal Palace U21

0 : 2

Manchester United U21

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