Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNAM Pumas vs Club Leon

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Calderon C. In: Azuaje A.
Out: Calderon C.
23'
Azuaje A.
43'
Dominguez Chonteco J. P.

AI Match Summary

UNAM Pumas in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UNAM Pumas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
UNAM Pumas
20%
Draws
57%
Club Leon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Club Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Club Leon have won more games recently than UNAM Pumas.
  • UNAM Pumas are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 14%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas Club Leon
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 18
Draws 9 2
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Club Leon
3:1
Jan 18, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Club Leon
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs UNAM Pumas
1:1
Mar 31, 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs UNAM Pumas
1:2
Jul 7, 2024 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Club Leon
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morales R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Club Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarado A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas 41 / 100
Club Leon 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas Club Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

UNAM Pumas's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Club Leon conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

UNAM Pumas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas VS Club Leon
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas

(Home)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3
Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 7

Club Leon

(Away)
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
06 Sept
Club Leon
1 : 0
Club America
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)