Sport Picks
AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League One The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London 
Match Events
6'
6'
Sub
Pearson M. In: Grehan S.
Out: Pearson M.
27'
27'
Stockley J.
28'
28'
Byrne N.
AI Match Summary
AFC Wimbledon in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Wimbledon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Doncaster
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Doncaster lately — more wins on the board than AFC Wimbledon.
- Doncaster are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 16%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AFC Wimbledon | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 League One
Doncaster vs AFC Wimbledon
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 League Two
Doncaster vs AFC Wimbledon
1:1
Dec 14, 2024 League Two
AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AFC Wimbledon Compare
Top Goalscorer Hippolyte M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Doncaster Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AFC Wimbledon 23 / 100
Doncaster 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AFC Wimbledon Doncaster
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Doncaster Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Doncaster has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Doncaster lost 3 of their last 5 games.
AFC Wimbledon's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
AFC Wimbledon VS Doncaster
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AFC Wimbledon
(Home) 31 Oct
Stockport County
2 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
27 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 2 Arsenal U21
24 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 Wycombe
20 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 3 Mansfield
17 Oct
Sheffield Wed
5 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 2 Arsenal U21
24 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 Wycombe
20 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 3 Mansfield
06 Oct
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1 Barnet
17 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
Page 1 of 4
Doncaster
(Away) 03 Nov
Rochdale
1 : 4 Doncaster
31 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
6 : 1 Doncaster
27 Oct
Luton
3 : 1 Doncaster
24 Oct
Doncaster
2 : 0 Sheffield Wed
20 Oct
Doncaster
0 : 2 Stockport County
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Rochdale
1 : 4 Doncaster
31 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
6 : 1 Doncaster
27 Oct
Luton
3 : 1 Doncaster
17 Oct
Leicester
2 : 1 Doncaster
19 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 2 Doncaster
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 | Oxford Utd | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Reading | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Bradford City | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wed | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
