Sport Picks
AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster
England
League One The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London 
Match Events
6'
6'
Sub
Pearson M. In: Grehan S.
Out: Pearson M.
27'
27'
Stockley J.
28'
28'
Byrne N.
AI Match Summary
AFC Wimbledon in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Wimbledon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Wimbledon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Doncaster lately — more wins on the board than AFC Wimbledon.
- AFC Wimbledon are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 68%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AFC Wimbledon | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 League One
Doncaster vs AFC Wimbledon
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 League Two
Doncaster vs AFC Wimbledon
1:1
Dec 14, 2024 League Two
AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AFC Wimbledon Compare
Top Goalscorer Hippolyte M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Doncaster Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AFC Wimbledon 50 / 100
Doncaster 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AFC Wimbledon Doncaster
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AFC Wimbledon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AFC Wimbledon scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Doncaster's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Recent resilience: AFC Wimbledon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AFC Wimbledon VS Doncaster
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
AFC Wimbledon
(Home) 12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Doncaster
07 Sept
Bromley
0 : 2 AFC Wimbledon
02 Sept
Burton
4 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
30 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Wigan
27 Aug
Fulham
3 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Doncaster
30 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Wigan
22 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Reading
08 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 1 Newport
01 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 3 QPR
Page 1 of 4
Doncaster
(Away) 12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Doncaster
08 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 3 Huddersfield
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3 Plymouth
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1 Notts County
29 Aug
Stevenage
2 : 2 Doncaster
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Doncaster
29 Aug
Stevenage
2 : 2 Doncaster
15 Aug
Mansfield
2 : 1 Doncaster
08 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 2 Doncaster
25 Jul
Gainsborough
0 : 0 Doncaster
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheffield Wed | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 4 | Cambridge Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Oxford Utd | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Stockport County | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Blackpool | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Burton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Luton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 13 | Leicester | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Reading | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 7 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:9 | 7 |
| 16 | Notts County | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:14 | 6 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 22 | Bromley | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:17 | 5 |
| 23 | Wigan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 24 | Doncaster | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
