Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC Wimbledon vs West Ham U21

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
AFC Wimbledon Logo

AFC Wimbledon

4 - 2
FT
West Ham U21 Logo

West Ham U21

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Smith A.
40' Event
Maycock C.
46'
Sub
Bauer P. In: Lewis J.
Out: Bauer P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AFC Wimbledon in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AFC Wimbledon
20%
Draws
40%
West Ham U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to West Ham U21 lately — more wins on the board than AFC Wimbledon.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • West Ham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AFC Wimbledon, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 10%
West Ham U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Wimbledon West Ham U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.23 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2026 EFL Trophy
AFC Wimbledon vs West Ham U21
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Wimbledon Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maycock C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

West Ham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajala J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orford L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Wimbledon 29 / 100
West Ham U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Wimbledon West Ham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: AFC Wimbledon scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

West Ham U21 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: AFC Wimbledon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Wimbledon VS West Ham U21
0.25 Goals Scored 1.8
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Wimbledon

(Home)
08 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 1
Newport
01 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 3
QPR
28 Jul
Wealdstone
1 : 0
AFC Wimbledon
25 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0
Charlton
22 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0
Norwich
Page 1 of 6

West Ham U21

(Away)
24 Jul
Colchester
2 : 2
West Ham U21
21 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
West Ham U21
04 May
Brighton U21
3 : 0
West Ham U21
24 Apr
Fulham U21
2 : 3
West Ham U21
04 Apr
Tottenham U21
3 : 2
West Ham U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3