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AFC Wimbledon W vs Plymouth W

England England

Women's National League South The Cherry Red Records Stadium
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

AFC Wimbledon W host Plymouth W in the Women's National League South. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Plymouth W have shipped 0.5 goals a game lately, while AFC Wimbledon W have conceded 2.75 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Plymouth W slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (0.94 - 2.69) back Plymouth W to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
AFC Wimbledon W
6%
Draws
90%
Plymouth W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Plymouth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Plymouth W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to AFC Wimbledon W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Plymouth W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Women's National League South provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
AFC Wimbledon W Clean Sheet 10%
Plymouth W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Wimbledon W Plymouth W
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 8 22
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.38 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Women's National League South
AFC Wimbledon W vs Plymouth W
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Women's National League South
Plymouth W vs AFC Wimbledon W
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Women's National League South
Plymouth W vs AFC Wimbledon W
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 Women's National League South
AFC Wimbledon W vs Plymouth W
1:2
Jan 8, 2017 Women’s FA Cup
Plymouth W vs AFC Wimbledon W
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Wimbledon W 10 / 100
Plymouth W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Wimbledon W Plymouth W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Wimbledon W scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Plymouth W let in goals in 50% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

AFC Wimbledon W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Plymouth W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Wimbledon W VS Plymouth W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Watford W22172380:2453
2Plymouth W22164261:1152
3Bournemouth W22144461:2046
4Oxford Utd W22123744:2739
5Lewes W22121946:2737
6Real Bedford W22931042:3430
7Exeter W22931039:3530
8Cheltenham W22731231:4624
9Hashtag W22651134:3823
10AFC Wimbledon W22641230:4822
11Gwalia United W22641228:4622
12Billericay W2200225:1450