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Afghanistan vs Malaysia

Asia Asia

CAFA Nations Cup
Thu, Sep 4, 2025
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Afghanistan have averaged 0.54 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Malaysia's 1.38 scored and 1.35 conceded. Past meetings favor Malaysia slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.69 - 1.69) back Malaysia to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Afghanistan
15%
Draws
51%
Malaysia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malaysia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Malaysia have won more games recently than Afghanistan.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Malaysia taking it.
  • Malaysia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Malaysia, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Afghanistan Clean Sheet 13%
Malaysia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afghanistan Malaysia
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 4 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.54 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2025 CAFA Nations Cup
Afghanistan vs Malaysia
0:0
Mar 23, 2019 Friendly International
Afghanistan vs Malaysia
1:2
Oct 11, 2016 Friendly International
Malaysia vs Afghanistan
1:1
Oct 20, 2008 Friendly International
Malaysia vs Afghanistan
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afghanistan 19 / 100
Malaysia 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afghanistan Malaysia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaysia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaysia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Malaysia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Afghanistan scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Afghanistan VS Malaysia
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Afghanistan

(Home)
10 Jun
Pakistan
2 : 0
Afghanistan
07 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 2
Pakistan
04 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
01 Jun
Maldives
0 : 1
Afghanistan
31 Mar
Syria
5 : 1
Afghanistan
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Malaysia

(Away)
19 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 0
Malaysia
16 Aug
Malaysia
0 : 2
Vietnam
08 Aug
Malaysia
1 : 0
Philippines
01 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Malaysia
28 Jul
Malaysia
4 : 0
Laos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Oman 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Turkmenistan 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Kyrgyzstan 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 India 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
3 Tajikistan 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 Afghanistan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)