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Afghanistan vs Myanmar

Asia Asia

Asian Cup
Afghanistan Logo

Afghanistan

1 - 2
FT
Myanmar Logo

Myanmar

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Popalzay O.
44'
Ahadi M.
45' Event
Paing T.
Assist: Lin Aung W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Afghanistan
15%
Draws
59%
Myanmar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Myanmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Afghanistan haven't matched Myanmar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Myanmar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Myanmar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Myanmar, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Myanmar here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Afghanistan Clean Sheet 15%
Myanmar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afghanistan Myanmar
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.54 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Asian Cup
Afghanistan vs Myanmar
1:2
Mar 25, 2025 Asian Cup
Myanmar vs Afghanistan
2:1
Oct 16, 2018 Friendly International
Afghanistan vs Myanmar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afghanistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Popalzay O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Myanmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Paing T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hein Khun Kyaw Zin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afghanistan 10 / 100
Myanmar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afghanistan Myanmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Myanmar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Myanmar let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Afghanistan's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Afghanistan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Afghanistan VS Myanmar
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Afghanistan

(Home)
10 Jun
Pakistan
2 : 0
Afghanistan
07 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 2
Pakistan
04 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
01 Jun
Maldives
0 : 1
Afghanistan
31 Mar
Syria
5 : 1
Afghanistan
Page 1 of 6

Myanmar

(Away)
27 Sept
Cambodia
1 : 0
Myanmar
24 Sept
Myanmar
2 : 0
Timor-Leste
08 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Myanmar
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)