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Afghanistan vs Pakistan

World World

Friendly International National Stadium
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Match Events

5' Event
Nawaz U.
Assist: Dost S.
90' Event
Hamid H.
Assist: Nabi A.
90'

AI Match Summary

Afghanistan host Pakistan in the Friendly International. This one's hard to separate. Afghanistan have averaged 0.25 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Pakistan's 0.63 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Afghanistan have won 0 to Pakistan's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 10, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 0.76, favoring Afghanistan. Afghanistan in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Afghanistan
11%
Draws
80%
Pakistan
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Pakistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Pakistan demonstrates higher offensive output (0.63 avg goals) than Afghanistan (0.25 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Pakistan.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Afghanistan Clean Sheet 27%
Pakistan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afghanistan Pakistan
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 0.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Friendly International
Pakistan vs Afghanistan
2:0
Jun 7, 2026 Friendly International
Afghanistan vs Pakistan
0:2
Oct 14, 2025 Asian Cup
Afghanistan vs Pakistan
1:1
Oct 9, 2025 Asian Cup
Pakistan vs Afghanistan
0:0
Feb 6, 2015 Friendly International
Pakistan vs Afghanistan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afghanistan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Pakistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Nawaz U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamid H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afghanistan 14 / 100
Pakistan 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afghanistan Pakistan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afghanistan scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Pakistan let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Afghanistan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pakistan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Afghanistan VS Pakistan
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%