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Afghanistan vs Pakistan Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

Asian Cup
Afghanistan Logo

Afghanistan

1 - 1
FT
Pakistan Logo

Pakistan

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Hanifi M.
29' Event
Hussain E.
Assist: Khan O.
42'
Azizi O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Afghanistan
20%
Draws
57%
Pakistan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pakistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Afghanistan at 0.54 per game, Pakistan at 0.52.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Pakistan taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Pakistan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Afghanistan Clean Sheet 22%
Pakistan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afghanistan Pakistan
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 0.54 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Friendly International
Pakistan vs Afghanistan
2:0
Jun 7, 2026 Friendly International
Afghanistan vs Pakistan
0:2
Oct 14, 2025 Asian Cup
Afghanistan vs Pakistan
1:1
Oct 9, 2025 Asian Cup
Pakistan vs Afghanistan
0:0
Feb 6, 2015 Friendly International
Pakistan vs Afghanistan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afghanistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanifi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Pakistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Hussain E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afghanistan 10 / 100
Pakistan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afghanistan Pakistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pakistan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pakistan conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Afghanistan scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Afghanistan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Afghanistan VS Pakistan
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Afghanistan

(Home)
10 Jun
Pakistan
2 : 0
Afghanistan
07 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 2
Pakistan
04 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
01 Jun
Maldives
0 : 1
Afghanistan
31 Mar
Syria
5 : 1
Afghanistan
Page 1 of 6

Pakistan

(Away)
29 Sept
Philippines
2 : 2
Pakistan
26 Sept
Pakistan
0 : 4
Thailand
10 Jun
Pakistan
2 : 0
Afghanistan
07 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 2
Pakistan
04 Jun
Maldives
0 : 3
Pakistan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)