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Afogadense vs Jaguar

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2012 game between Afogadense and Jaguar finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afogadense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Afogadense
6%
Draws
4%
Jaguar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Afogadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jaguar come out ahead of Afogadense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Afogadense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Afogadense Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afogadense Jaguar
Matches Played 28 43
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Afogadense vs Jaguar
2:0
Aug 15, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Afogadense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afogadense 85 / 100
Jaguar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afogadense Jaguar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afogadense's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Jaguar let in goals in 72% of their last 43 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Afogadense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jaguar
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Afogadense

(Home)
10 Oct
Cabense
3 : 0
Afogadense
03 Oct
Afogadense
5 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
30 Sept
Olinda FC
5 : 1
Afogadense
26 Sept
Afogadense
2 : 0
Pesqueira
23 Sept
Ferroviario do Cabo
0 : 2
Afogadense
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Jaguar

(Away)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cha Grande28187364:2761
2Cabense28177452:1758
3Pesqueira28182850:2956
4Olinda FC28178362:2856
5Academica Vitoria28148653:3650
6Carpina SC28145939:2947
7Afogadense28129748:4245
8Timbauba FC28127935:2643
9Ipojuca28971241:4034
10Jaguar285101340:5325
11Sete de Setembro (PE)285101328:5025
12Centro Limoeirense28631930:6421
13Ibis Sport Club28491531:6421
14Ferroviario do Cabo28461830:6118
15Atletico PE28281822:5914
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2012 (Play Offs)