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Afogadense vs Jaguar

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2012
Afogadense Logo

Afogadense

2 - 0
FT
Jaguar Logo

Jaguar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2012 game between Afogadense and Jaguar finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afogadense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Afogadense
15%
Draws
8%
Jaguar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afogadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Afogadense come out ahead of Jaguar on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Afogadense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Afogadense Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afogadense Jaguar
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.71 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Afogadense vs Jaguar
2:0
Aug 15, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Afogadense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afogadense 85 / 100
Jaguar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afogadense Jaguar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afogadense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afogadense's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Jaguar let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Afogadense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jaguar
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Afogadense

(Home)
10 Oct
Cabense
3 : 0
Afogadense
03 Oct
Afogadense
5 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
30 Sept
Olinda FC
5 : 1
Afogadense
26 Sept
Afogadense
2 : 0
Pesqueira
23 Sept
Ferroviario do Cabo
0 : 2
Afogadense
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Jaguar

(Away)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cha Grande 28 18 7 3 64:27 61
2 Cabense 28 17 7 4 52:17 58
3 Pesqueira 28 18 2 8 50:29 56
4 Olinda FC 28 17 8 3 62:28 56
5 Academica Vitoria 28 14 8 6 53:36 50
6 Carpina SC 28 14 5 9 39:29 47
7 Afogadense 28 12 9 7 48:42 45
8 Timbauba FC 28 12 7 9 35:26 43
9 Ipojuca 28 9 7 12 41:40 34
10 Jaguar 28 5 10 13 40:53 25
11 Sete de Setembro (PE) 28 5 10 13 28:50 25
12 Centro Limoeirense 28 6 3 19 30:64 21
13 Ibis Sport Club 28 4 9 15 31:64 21
14 Ferroviario do Cabo 28 4 6 18 30:61 18
15 Atletico PE 28 2 8 18 22:59 14
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2012 (Play Offs)