Sport Picks
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Petrolina
Brazil
Pernambucano 2025 Estadio Valdemar Viana de Araujo 
AI Match Summary
Afogados da Ingazeira play Petrolina in the Pernambucano 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Afogados da Ingazeira averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Petrolina averaged 0.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Afogados da Ingazeira won 1, Petrolina won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jan 26, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Afogados da Ingazeira and 0.81 for Petrolina. This points to a Afogados da Ingazeira double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Afogados da Ingazeira has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Petrolina.
- Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Afogados da Ingazeira.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Pernambucano 2025 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Afogados da Ingazeira | Petrolina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 34 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 0.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Afogados da Ingazeira Compare
Petrolina Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Afogados da Ingazeira scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Petrolina let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Afogados da Ingazeira went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Petrolina lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Cruz | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Maguary | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 3 | Nautico | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 4 | Sport Recife | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Decisao | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 6 | Retro | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Jaguar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 8 | Central SC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 9 | Afogados da Ingazeira | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Petrolina | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4:14 | 3 |