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AFS vs Boavista Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2024/2025 Estádio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Veiga E.
43'
Grau J.
50'
Bozenik R.

AI Match Summary

Boavista in this Liga Portugal 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boavista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AFS
20%
Draws
34%
Boavista
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AFS lately — more wins on the board than Boavista.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on AFS taking it.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
AFS Clean Sheet 68%
Boavista Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFS Boavista
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 13 4
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.03 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2025 Liga Portugal
AFS vs Boavista
1:2
Dec 21, 2024 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs AFS
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Nene
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Boavista Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaby A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFS 95 / 100
Boavista 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFS Boavista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Boavista conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

AFS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Boavista has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AFS VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AFS

(Home)
20 Sept
Sintrense
0 : 2
AFS
13 Sept
AFS
0 : 0
SC Farense
07 Sept
Lusitania FC
2 : 1
AFS
30 Aug
AFS
2 : 0
Feirense
23 Aug
Chaves
2 : 2
AFS
Page 1 of 7

Boavista

(Away)
17 May
Arouca
4 : 1
Boavista
11 May
Boavista
1 : 2
FC Porto
05 May
AFS
1 : 2
Boavista
27 Apr
Boavista
0 : 5
Sporting CP
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1
Boavista
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 88:27 82
2 Benfica 34 25 5 4 84:28 80
3 FC Porto 34 22 5 7 65:30 71
4 Braga 34 19 9 6 55:30 66
5 Santa Clara 34 17 6 11 36:32 57
6 Vitoria Guimaraes 34 14 12 8 47:37 54
7 Famalicao 34 12 11 11 44:39 47
8 Estoril 34 12 10 12 48:53 46
9 Casa Pia 34 12 9 13 39:44 45
10 Moreirense 34 10 10 14 42:50 40
11 Rio Ave 34 9 11 14 39:55 38
12 Arouca 34 9 11 14 35:49 38
13 Gil Vicente 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 32:50 34
15 Estrela da Amadora 34 7 8 19 24:50 29
16 AFS 34 5 12 17 25:60 27
17 SC Farense 34 6 9 19 25:46 27
18 Boavista 34 6 6 22 24:59 24
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)