Sport Picks
AFS vs Sporting CP
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2025/2026 Estádio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves 
Match Events
12'
12'
Mendonsa G.
45'
45'
Akinsola T.
47'
47'
Nel R.
Assist: Vagiannidis G.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2025/2026 game between AFS and Sporting CP finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting CP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- AFS haven't matched Sporting CP's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Sporting CP's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
AFS Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting CP Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AFS | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 18 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Liga Portugal
AFS vs Sporting CP
1:1
Feb 5, 2026 Taça de Portugal
Sporting CP vs AFS
3:2
Dec 13, 2025 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs AFS
6:0
Feb 23, 2025 Liga Portugal
AFS vs Sporting CP
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs AFS
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AFS Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Sporting CP Compare
Top Goalscorer Nel R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AFS 10 / 100
Sporting CP 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AFS Sporting CP
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Sporting CP let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
AFS has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: AFS scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
AFS VS Sporting CP
1.13 Goals Scored 3.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
AFS
(Home) 09 Aug
AFS
0 : 1 Sporting CP B
31 Jul
AFS
1 : 1 Trofense
29 Jul
AFS
3 : 0 SC Vianense
25 Jul
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 2 AFS
22 Jul
AFS
2 : 4 Paredes
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
AFS
0 : 1 Sporting CP B
31 Jul
AFS
1 : 1 Trofense
29 Jul
AFS
3 : 0 SC Vianense
22 Jul
AFS
2 : 4 Paredes
11 Jul
AFS
0 : 1 Chaves
Page 1 of 3
Sporting CP
(Away) 08 Aug
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Sporting CP
31 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1 Nottingham
25 Jul
Sporting CP
2 : 0 Monaco
20 Jul
Sporting CP
7 : 0 Strasbourg
14 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1 Celtic
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Sporting CP
11 May
Rio Ave
1 : 4 Sporting CP
26 Apr
AFS
1 : 1 Sporting CP
22 Apr
FC Porto
0 : 0 Sporting CP
15 Apr
Arsenal
0 : 0 Sporting CP
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 80 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | 28 |
| 18 | AFS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | 21 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
