Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
AFS host Tondela in the Liga Portugal 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Tondela have shipped 1.27 goals a game lately, while AFS have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Tondela slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.00) back Tondela to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- AFS haven't matched Tondela's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AFS | Tondela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AFS found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).
Tondela let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: AFS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
AFS
(Home)Tondela
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitania FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 3 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 5 | SC Farense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Vizela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Leiria | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | AFS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 12 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 14 | FC Felgueiras | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 15 | Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 16 | Amarante FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 17 | Chaves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:8 | 1 |
