Sport Picks

Ukraine

Druha Liga 2021/2022

Karpaty Lviv

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AFSC Kyiv play Karpaty Lviv in the Druha Liga 2021/2022. Karpaty Lviv are favorites here. Recently, AFSC Kyiv averaged 0.37 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. Karpaty Lviv averaged 1.56 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. In past meetings, AFSC Kyiv won 0, Karpaty Lviv won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 20, 2021 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for AFSC Kyiv and 1.30 for Karpaty Lviv. This points to a Karpaty Lviv double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%

AFSC Kyiv

15%

Draws

73%

Karpaty Lviv

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karpaty Lviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

AFSC Kyiv picked up more points recently compared to Karpaty Lviv.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

AFSC Kyiv Clean Sheet 19%

Karpaty Lviv Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AFSC Kyiv	Karpaty Lviv
Matches Played	19	34
Wins	1	16
Draws	4	7
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	0.37	1.56
Goals Conceded	2.11	0.85

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2021 Druha Liga

AFSC Kyiv vs Karpaty Lviv

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

0:3

Aug 14, 2021 Druha Liga

Karpaty Lviv vs AFSC Kyiv

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Aug 4, 2021 Ukrainian Cup

Karpaty Lviv vs AFSC Kyiv

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFSC Kyiv Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Karpaty Lviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Galenkov D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kozhanov D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFSC Kyiv 15 / 100

Karpaty Lviv 69 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AFSC Kyiv Karpaty Lviv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karpaty Lviv Win (2)

Secondary Pick Karpaty Lviv & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +200%

25.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AFSC Kyiv attacking → ← attacking Karpaty Lviv

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFSC Kyiv scored in 32% of their last 19 games.

Karpaty Lviv let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

AFSC Kyiv went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Karpaty Lviv lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 55

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Karpaty Lviv	18	16	0	2	46:7	48
2	Livyi Bereg	19	15	1	3	47:14	46
3	LNZ Cherkasy	17	13	2	2	36:9	41
4	Dinaz Vyshgorod	19	13	1	5	33:18	40
5	Epitsentr	19	12	1	6	30:19	37
6	Munkacs Mukacheve	19	8	5	6	25:24	29
7	Karpaty Halych	18	7	4	7	23:23	25
8	Nyva Vinnytsya	17	7	4	6	29:20	25
9	Bukovyna	18	6	5	7	20:17	23
10	FC Chernihiv	18	5	5	8	17:24	20
11	Dnipro Cherkasy	18	5	2	11	24:32	17
12	Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka	19	3	6	10	16:40	15
13	Rubikon Kyiv	19	4	2	13	12:38	14
14	AFSC Kyiv	19	1	5	13	8:38	8
15	Liubomyr Stavyshche	19	1	1	17	8:51	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya	19	13	6	0	34:7	45
2	Skoruk Tomakovka	20	12	5	3	33:14	41
3	FK Balkany	20	10	9	1	34:14	39
4	Peremoga Dnipro	20	12	3	5	34:14	39
5	Tavriya	19	9	6	4	28:19	33
6	SC Poltava	20	9	4	7	29:27	31
7	Trostyanets	19	9	4	6	34:29	31
8	MFK Mykolaiv	17	8	6	3	35:24	30
9	FC Vovchansk	20	7	6	7	27:25	27
10	Victoria	19	8	3	8	22:23	27
11	Fenix Mariupol	20	6	6	8	36:29	24
12	FC Nikopol	20	5	5	10	22:42	20
13	Nova Kakhovka	20	5	2	13	20:40	17
14	Real Pharma Odesa	20	4	2	14	22:49	14
15	Krystal	20	2	3	15	19:36	9
16	FC Sumy	19	1	2	16	16:53	5