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AFSC Kyiv vs Nyva Vinnytsya

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2021/2022
Sat, Apr 9, 2022
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFSC Kyiv play Nyva Vinnytsya in the Druha Liga 2021/2022. Nyva Vinnytsya are favorites here. Recently, AFSC Kyiv averaged 0.37 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. Nyva Vinnytsya averaged 1.68 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, AFSC Kyiv won 0, Nyva Vinnytsya won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 9, 2022 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for AFSC Kyiv and 1.24 for Nyva Vinnytsya. This points to a Nyva Vinnytsya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
AFSC Kyiv
19%
Draws
69%
Nyva Vinnytsya
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Nyva Vinnytsya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • AFSC Kyiv picked up more points recently compared to Nyva Vinnytsya.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
AFSC Kyiv Clean Sheet 19%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFSC Kyiv Nyva Vinnytsya
Matches Played 19 38
Wins 1 22
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.37 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.11 0.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 Druha Liga
AFSC Kyiv vs Nyva Vinnytsya
0:0
Sep 11, 2021 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs AFSC Kyiv
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFSC Kyiv 15 / 100
Nyva Vinnytsya 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFSC Kyiv Nyva Vinnytsya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Vinnytsya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nyva Vinnytsya & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +200%
25.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AFSC Kyiv attacking → ← attacking Nyva Vinnytsya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFSC Kyiv scored in 32% of their last 19 games.

Nyva Vinnytsya let in goals in 57% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

AFSC Kyiv went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Nyva Vinnytsya lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 72
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Karpaty Lviv18160246:748
2Livyi Bereg19151347:1446
3LNZ Cherkasy17132236:941
4Dinaz Vyshgorod19131533:1840
5Epitsentr19121630:1937
6Munkacs Mukacheve1985625:2429
7Karpaty Halych1874723:2325
8Nyva Vinnytsya1774629:2025
9Bukovyna1865720:1723
10FC Chernihiv1855817:2420
11Dnipro Cherkasy18521124:3217
12Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka19361016:4015
13Rubikon Kyiv19421312:3814
14AFSC Kyiv1915138:388
15Liubomyr Stavyshche1911178:514
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12FC Nikopol20551022:4220
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15Krystal20231519:369
16FC Sumy19121616:535