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Afturelding vs Grindavik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Varmárvöllur, Mosfellsbaer
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kooistra B.
Assist: Saevarsson A.
9' Event
Bjarkason O.
16' Event
Cogic E.
Assist: Saevarsson A.

AI Match Summary

Afturelding in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afturelding.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Afturelding
20%
Draws
38%
Grindavik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Grindavik haven't matched Afturelding's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Afturelding a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 19%
Grindavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afturelding Grindavik
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 3 12
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Division 1
Afturelding vs Grindavik
4:1
May 27, 2026 Division 1
Grindavik vs Afturelding
1:3
Jul 30, 2024 Division 1
Grindavik vs Afturelding
0:3
May 25, 2024 Division 1
Afturelding vs Grindavik
1:1
Aug 10, 2023 Division 1
Afturelding vs Grindavik
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afturelding Compare

Top Goalscorer Kooistra B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjarkason O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Grindavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Eysteinsson R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afturelding 85 / 100
Grindavik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afturelding Grindavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afturelding Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afturelding found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Grindavik let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Afturelding went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Afturelding VS Grindavik
3 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Afturelding

(Home)
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1
Afturelding
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Grotta
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
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Grindavik

(Away)
05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1
Grindavik
29 Aug
Grindavik
4 : 3
Kopavogur
22 Aug
Fylkir
6 : 1
Grindavik
17 Aug
Grindavik
0 : 0
Grotta
13 Aug
Grindavik
2 : 1
Throttur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)