Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Afturelding vs Grindavik

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Varmárvöllur, Mosfellsbaer
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Afturelding host Grindavik in the Division 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Afturelding have averaged 3 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Grindavik's 1 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Afturelding slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 27, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (2.19 - 1.06) back Afturelding to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Afturelding
15%
Draws
31%
Grindavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Very High Confidence
  • Grindavik haven't matched Afturelding's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Afturelding a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 20%
Grindavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afturelding Grindavik
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 18 8
Draws 3 11
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 3 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Division 1
Grindavik vs Afturelding
1:3
Jul 30, 2024 Division 1
Grindavik vs Afturelding
0:3
May 25, 2024 Division 1
Afturelding vs Grindavik
1:1
Aug 10, 2023 Division 1
Afturelding vs Grindavik
1:2
Jun 1, 2023 Division 1
Grindavik vs Afturelding
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afturelding 76 / 100
Grindavik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afturelding Grindavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afturelding found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Grindavik conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Afturelding went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Afturelding VS Grindavik
3 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Afturelding

(Home)
29 Jul
Throttur
4 : 1
Afturelding
21 Jul
Fylkir
1 : 2
Afturelding
16 Jul
Afturelding
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
11 Jul
Volsungur
1 : 6
Afturelding
03 Jul
IR Reykjavik
0 : 1
Afturelding
Page 1 of 6

Grindavik

(Away)
29 Jul
Grindavik
1 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
24 Jul
Volsungur
2 : 0
Grindavik
18 Jul
Grindavik
0 : 0
IR Reykjavik
14 Jul
Grotta
1 : 2
Grindavik
10 Jul
Njardvik
5 : 4
Grindavik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Throttur 16 10 3 3 36:16 33
2 Fylkir 16 11 0 5 35:23 33
3 Afturelding 15 10 1 4 44:25 31
4 Kopavogur 16 9 1 6 38:29 28
5 Njardvik 16 8 2 6 24:21 26
6 Grotta 14 7 1 6 29:28 22
7 Vestri 15 6 3 6 26:31 21
8 Leiknir Reykjavik 16 5 4 7 20:25 19
9 Grindavik 16 3 8 5 16:20 17
10 IR Reykjavik 16 4 4 8 27:36 16
11 Volsungur 16 2 5 9 20:37 11
12 Aegir 16 2 2 12 19:43 8
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)