Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Afturelding vs Hottur

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Jonasson A.
29' Event
Jonasson A.
49' Event
Martinez G. I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2018 game between Afturelding and Hottur finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Afturelding
15%
Draws
45%
Hottur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hottur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Afturelding come out ahead of Hottur on wins alone.
  • Model gives Afturelding a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Afturelding have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 20%
Hottur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afturelding Hottur
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 23 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 3.03 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2018 Division 2
Hottur vs Afturelding
1:3
Jul 14, 2018 Division 2
Afturelding vs Hottur
2:2
Sep 2, 2017 Division 2
Afturelding vs Hottur
6:2
Jun 24, 2017 Division 2
Hottur vs Afturelding
0:3
Sep 17, 2016 Division 2
Afturelding vs Hottur
7:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afturelding Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonasson A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Hottur Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez G. I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz Bernal F. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afturelding 85 / 100
Hottur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afturelding Hottur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afturelding Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afturelding scored in 91% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Hottur conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Afturelding stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Afturelding VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Afturelding

(Home)
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1
Afturelding
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Grotta
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
Page 1 of 7

Hottur

(Away)
05 Jan
Hottur
2 : 0
Tindastoll
22 Sept
Hottur
1 : 3
Afturelding
15 Sept
Volsungur
2 : 3
Hottur
08 Sept
Hottur
2 : 0
Leiknir Faskruds
02 Sept
Kari
2 : 2
Hottur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 13 6 3 58:27 45
2 Grotta 22 14 3 5 54:28 45
3 Vestri 22 13 5 4 42:17 44
4 Volsungur 22 12 4 6 45:31 40
5 Kari 22 12 2 8 46:44 38
6 Throttur Vogar 22 9 6 7 36:31 33
7 Fjardabyggd 22 8 4 10 27:32 28
8 Tindastoll 22 7 3 12 28:53 24
9 Vidir 22 6 5 11 28:36 23
10 Leiknir Faskruds 22 5 7 10 31:36 22
11 Hottur 22 5 6 11 31:49 21
12 Huginn 22 1 3 18 13:55 6
Promotion - Inkasso-deildin 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Inkasso-deildin 2019 (Main)