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Afturelding vs Leiknir Reykjavik Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Varmárvöllur, Mosfellsbaer
Afturelding Logo

Afturelding

3 - 2
FT
Leiknir Reykjavik Logo

Leiknir Reykjavik

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Holtan J.
Assist: Kooistra B.
10' Event
Hardarson A.
13'
Hugason S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Afturelding in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afturelding.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Afturelding
15%
Draws
34%
Leiknir Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Afturelding have won more games recently than Leiknir Reykjavik.
  • Win probability leans Afturelding's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Afturelding here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 68%
Leiknir Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afturelding Leiknir Reykjavik
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.93 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Division 1
Afturelding vs Leiknir Reykjavik
3:2
May 8, 2026 Division 1
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Afturelding
0:3
Aug 8, 2024 Division 1
Afturelding vs Leiknir Reykjavik
1:1
May 31, 2024 Division 1
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Afturelding
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Afturelding
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afturelding Compare

Top Goalscorer Holtan J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bjarkason O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Leiknir Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Hardarson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tjorvason J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afturelding 59 / 100
Leiknir Reykjavik 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afturelding Leiknir Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afturelding Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afturelding scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Leiknir Reykjavik conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Afturelding remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Afturelding VS Leiknir Reykjavik
3.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Afturelding

(Home)
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1
Afturelding
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Grotta
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
Page 1 of 6

Leiknir Reykjavik

(Away)
05 Sept
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
29 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
2 : 0
Njardvik
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Leiknir Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)