Sport Picks
Afturelding vs Stjarnan Prediction & H2H Stats
Iceland
Icelandic Cup Varmárvöllur, Mosfellsbaer 
Match Events
5'
5'
Aegisson H.
28'
28'
Sub
Bjarnason A. In: Eggertsson O.
Out: Bjarnason A.
45'
45'
Brink H. O.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stjarnan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Afturelding lately — more wins on the board than Stjarnan.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Afturelding taking it.
- Afturelding have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Afturelding, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 14%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Afturelding | Stjarnan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.93 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 10, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Afturelding vs Stjarnan
3:1
Jul 28, 2025 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Afturelding
4:1
May 5, 2025 Besta deild karla
Afturelding vs Stjarnan
3:0
Feb 10, 2023 League Cup
Stjarnan vs Afturelding
4:1
Jul 24, 2003 Division 1
Afturelding vs Stjarnan
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Afturelding Compare
Top Goalscorer Saevarsson B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kooistra B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Stjarnan Compare
Top Goalscorer Aegisson H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Afturelding 84 / 100
Stjarnan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Afturelding Stjarnan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Afturelding Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Afturelding scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Stjarnan has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Afturelding stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Afturelding VS Stjarnan
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Afturelding
(Home) 11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2 Breidablik
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1 Afturelding
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0 Vestri
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0 Grotta
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7 Afturelding
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2 Breidablik
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0 Vestri
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0 Grotta
17 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 2 Kopavogur
07 Aug
Afturelding
4 : 1 Grindavik
Page 1 of 4
Stjarnan
(Away) 20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2 Stjarnan
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2 Stjarnan
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2 Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2 Stjarnan
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2 Stjarnan
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 1 Stjarnan
03 Aug
Valur
2 : 3 Stjarnan
30 Jul
Ilves
3 : 1 Stjarnan
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 2
Neisti 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 7
Stokkseyri 3
Arbaer 1
Hafnir 0
Aegir -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 1
Reynir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
Olafsvik 3
Arborg 2
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 2
Haukar 3
KFR -
IH Hafnarfjordur -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Ellidi 9
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Alafoss 1
Fjolnir 4
KFG Gardabaer 2
Vidir 3
Kopavogur -
TBD -
BF 108 5
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 5
KB Breidholt 0
Spyrnir -
Sindri -
TBD -
KFA -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Smari 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 4
Hamar 2
Alftanes 5
Kria 2
SR Reykjavik 2
Kari 8
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Ymir 7
Falkar 0
KFS -
Thorlakur -
Tindastoll 3
Fjallabyggd 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Magni 3
Njardvik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 0
Selfoss 3
IBU 1
Augnablik 12
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/32-finals
Hottur / Huginn 5
Neisti 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 3
Arbaer 5
Aegir 2
Reynir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Throttur 3
Olafsvik 1
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 3
KFR 0
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 2
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjolnir 2
Vidir 1
Kopavogur 4
BF 108 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir 6
KV Reykjavik 0
Sindri 0
KFA 1
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Smari 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 1
Alftanes 5
Kari 1
IR Reykjavik 2
Afturelding 3
Ymir 10
KFS 0
Tindastoll 3
Magni 1
Njardvik 5
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Selfoss 7
Augnablik 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/16-finals
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 5
Arbaer 1
Aegir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Breidablik 6
Akranes 4
Haukar 0
Grindavik 2
Keflavik 1
Fjolnir 3
Kopavogur 4
Fram 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 2
KFA 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
Vestri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Grotta 1
Alftanes 0
Afturelding 6
Ymir 1
Tindastoll 0
Njardvik 1
Stjarnan 2
Selfoss 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Valur 2
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Aegir 2
Throttur 1
Breidablik 2
Akranes 3
Grindavik 2
Kopavogur 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 5
Hafnarfjordur 0
Vestri 0
Grotta 4
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 2
Stjarnan 2
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
Aegir 0
Breidablik 3
Akranes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 4
Grotta 2
Afturelding 3
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Fylkir 1
Afturelding 2
Final
Breidablik 2
Afturelding 1
