Sport Picks

Iceland

Icelandic Cup Varmárvöllur

Afturelding

6 - 1

Ymir

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Ottosson B.

39'

Holtan J.

45'

Cogic E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Icelandic Cup game between Afturelding and Ymir finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afturelding.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Afturelding

28%

Draws

22%

Ymir

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Ymir haven't matched Afturelding's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Afturelding's way, sitting at 50%.
Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 91%

Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 39%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Afturelding Clean Sheet 10%

Ymir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Afturelding	Ymir
Matches Played	28	26
Wins	17	9
Draws	4	0
Losses	7	17
Goals Scored	3.5	5.5
Goals Conceded	2	3
Expected Goals (xG)	3.50	5.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Icelandic Cup

Afturelding vs Ymir

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

6:1

Apr 8, 2022 Icelandic Cup

Afturelding vs Ymir

Possession: 48% - 44% Cards: 1 - 4

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afturelding Compare

Top Goalscorer Holtan J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Cogic E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.69

Avg xA / game 1.75

Ymir Compare

Top Goalscorer Ottosson B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 5

Avg xA / game 3.06

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afturelding 47 / 100

Ymir 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Afturelding Ymir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALF Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afturelding's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ymir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Afturelding stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Afturelding VS Ymir

3.5 Goals Scored 5.5

2 Goals Conceded 3

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 100%

75% Over 3.5 100%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals

Hottur / Huginn-

TBD-

Einherji2

Neisti5

TBD-

KA Akureyri-

Lettir7

Stokkseyri3

Arbaer1

Hafnir0

Aegir-

TBD-

RB Keflavik1

Reynir7

IBV Vestmannaeyjar-

TBD-

Throttur-

TBD-

Olafsvik3

Arborg2

Volsungur-

TBD-

Kormakur/Hvot-

TBD-

Breidablik-

Akranes-

TBD-

Vaengirs2

Haukar3

KFR-

IH Hafnarfjordur-

Reynir Hellissandur0

Ellidi9

TBD-

Grindavik-

TBD-

Keflavik-

Alafoss1

Fjolnir4

KFG Gardabaer2

Vidir3

Kopavogur-

TBD-

BF 1085

Afrika Reykjavik1

Fram-

TBD-

Vikingur Reykjavik-

Fylkir-

TBD-

KV Reykjavik5

KB Breidholt0

Spyrnir-

Sindri-

TBD-

KFA-

Thor Akureyri-

TBD-

Hafnarfjordur-

Vestri-

TBD-

Leiknir Reykjavik-

TBD-

Skallagrimur2

Smari3

Throttur Vogar0

Grotta2

Ulfarnir4

Hamar2

Alftanes5

Kria2

SR Reykjavik2

Kari8

IR Reykjavik-

TBD-

Afturelding-

Ymir7

Falkar0

KFS-

Thorlakur-

Tindastoll3

Fjallabyggd1

Dalvik/Reynir1

Magni3

Njardvik-

TBD-

KH Hlidarendi1

Hviti2

Stjarnan-

TBD-

KA Asvellir0

Selfoss3

IBU1

Augnablik12

KR Reykjavik-

TBD-

Valur-

1/32-finals

Hottur / Huginn5

Neisti0

TBD-

KA Akureyri-

Lettir3

Arbaer5

Aegir2

Reynir0

IBV Vestmannaeyjar-

TBD-

Throttur3

Olafsvik1

Volsungur2

Kormakur/Hvot3

TBD-

Breidablik-

Akranes-

TBD-

Haukar3

KFR0

Ellidi0

Grindavik2

TBD-

Keflavik-

Fjolnir2

Vidir1

Kopavogur4

BF 1080

Fram-

TBD-

Vikingur Reykjavik-

Fylkir6

KV Reykjavik0

Sindri0

KFA1

Thor Akureyri-

TBD-

Hafnarfjordur-

Vestri-

TBD-

Leiknir Reykjavik3

Smari0

Grotta2

Ulfarnir1

Alftanes5

Kari1

IR Reykjavik2

Afturelding3

Ymir10

KFS0

Tindastoll3

Magni1

Njardvik5

Hviti2

Stjarnan-

TBD-

Selfoss7

Augnablik1

KR Reykjavik-

TBD-

Valur-

1/16-finals

Hottur / Huginn0

KA Akureyri5

Arbaer1

Aegir7

IBV Vestmannaeyjar2

Throttur3

Kormakur/Hvot1

Breidablik6

Akranes4

Haukar0

Grindavik2

Keflavik1

Fjolnir3

Kopavogur4

Fram2

Vikingur Reykjavik4

Fylkir2

KFA0

Thor Akureyri2

Hafnarfjordur4

Vestri1

Leiknir Reykjavik0

Grotta1

Alftanes0

Afturelding6

Ymir1

Tindastoll0

Njardvik1

Stjarnan2

Selfoss1

KR Reykjavik4

Valur2

1/8-finals

KA Akureyri1

Aegir2

Throttur1

Breidablik2

Akranes3

Grindavik2

Kopavogur0

Vikingur Reykjavik2

Fylkir5

Hafnarfjordur0

Vestri0

Grotta4

Afturelding5

Njardvik2

Stjarnan2

KR Reykjavik1

Quarter-finals

Aegir0

Breidablik3

Akranes1

Vikingur Reykjavik2

Fylkir4

Grotta2

Afturelding3

Stjarnan1

Semi-finals

Breidablik3

Vikingur Reykjavik0

Fylkir-

Afturelding-

Final

Breidablik-

TBD-