Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Gudmundsson H.
22'
22'
Cogic E.
32'
32'
Cogic E.
AI Match Summary
Afturelding in this Icelandic Cup 2022 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afturelding
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Afturelding have won more games recently than Ymir.
- Model gives Ymir a 34% chance of winning this.
- Afturelding have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Afturelding, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 20%
Ymir Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Afturelding | Ymir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 21 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 3.03 | 2.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 3.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Afturelding vs Ymir
6:1
Apr 8, 2022 Icelandic Cup
Afturelding vs Ymir
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Afturelding Compare
Top Goalscorer Cogic E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gudmundsson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.66
Ymir Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Afturelding 12 / 100
Ymir 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Afturelding Ymir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ymir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Afturelding scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Ymir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.
Games between these two average 6.00 goals.
Solid form: Afturelding remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Afturelding VS Ymir
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Afturelding
(Home) 17 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 2 Kopavogur
13 Aug
Fylkir
3 : 3 Afturelding
07 Aug
Afturelding
4 : 1 Grindavik
29 Jul
Throttur
4 : 1 Afturelding
21 Jul
Fylkir
1 : 2 Afturelding
Page 1 of 6
17 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 2 Kopavogur
07 Aug
Afturelding
4 : 1 Grindavik
16 Jul
Afturelding
3 : 2 Leiknir Reykjavik
29 Jun
Afturelding
8 : 1 Aegir
26 Jun
Afturelding
2 : 0 Njardvik
Page 1 of 4
Ymir
(Away) 04 Aug
Selfoss
4 : 0 Ymir
03 Apr
Afturelding
6 : 1 Ymir
28 Mar
Ymir
10 : 0 KFS
20 Mar
Ymir
7 : 0 Falkar
05 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
3 : 1 Ymir
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
Selfoss
4 : 0 Ymir
03 Apr
Afturelding
6 : 1 Ymir
05 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
3 : 1 Ymir
16 Jul
Alftanes
4 : 7 Ymir
17 Jul
KFA
6 : 0 Ymir
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
KFK Kopavogur 0
Throttur 1
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Grotta 8
KH Hlidarendi 0
Hafnir 0
KM Reykjavik 1
Volsungur -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot 0
Dalvik/Reynir 3
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 3
Samherjar 6
Sindri 6
Spyrnir 0
TBD -
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Hamar 1
KFR 0
Isbjorninn 1
Selfoss 9
Tindastoll 0
Fjallabyggd 4
TBD -
Magni -
KA Asvellir 4
KB Breidholt 0
Haukar 4
Lettir 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik 2
Fjolnir 1
KFG Gardabaer 4
Augnablik 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Stokkseyri 0
Hviti 11
RB Keflavik 10
Gullfalkinn 4
Kordrengir 8
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Alftanes 5
Vestri -
TBD -
Vidir 6
SR Reykjavik 0
Afturelding 5
Ymir 0
Vaengirs 7
Alafoss 0
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kari 3
Arborg 0
Berserkir / Midas 0
Olafsvik 6
GG Grindavik 1
KV Reykjavik 4
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 6
Reynir Hellissandur 5
Skallagrimur 1
Throttur Vogar 0
IR Reykjavik 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kria 5
IBU 8
Reynir 6
Arbaer 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Boltafelag Nordfjardar 0
Einherji 2
KFB 0
Aegir 15
Smari 2
KFS 4
Fylkir -
TBD -
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Ulfarnir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/32-finals
Throttur 0
Kopavogur 3
Grotta 12
KM Reykjavik 0
Volsungur 2
Dalvik/Reynir 5
Thor Akureyri 7
Samherjar 0
Sindri 2
KFA 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Hamar 0
Selfoss 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Magni 2
KA Asvellir 0
Haukar 5
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Njardvik 5
KFG Gardabaer 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Hviti 6
RB Keflavik 0
Kordrengir 5
Alftanes 0
Vestri 2
Vidir 0
Afturelding 3
Vaengirs 1
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
Kari 2
Olafsvik 1
KV Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 3
Reynir Hellissandur 0
IR Reykjavik 16
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 0
Reynir 4
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Hottur / Huginn 3
Einherji 2
Aegir 1
KFS 0
Fylkir 5
Ulfarnir 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 3
Grotta 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Sindri 3
Akranes 5
Breidablik 6
Valur 2
Selfoss 2
Magni 1
Haukar 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 7
Keflavik 1
Njardvik 4
Stjarnan 0
KR Reykjavik 3
Hviti 0
Kordrengir 2
Vestri 2
Afturelding 3
Hafnarfjordur 3
Kari 0
Grindavik 1
IR Reykjavik 2
KA Akureyri 4
Reynir 1
Fram 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Hottur / Huginn 1
Aegir 3
Fylkir 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 6
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Akranes 2
Breidablik 3
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Njardvik 0
KR Reykjavik 1
Kordrengir 2
Afturelding 1
Hafnarfjordur 6
IR Reykjavik 1
KA Akureyri 4
Fram 1
Aegir 1
Fylkir 0
Quarter-finals
Kopavogur 0
Breidablik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 5
KR Reykjavik 3
Kordrengir 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
KA Akureyri 3
Aegir 0
Semi-finals
Breidablik 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri 1
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
