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Afumati vs Steaua Bucuresti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 2 CNF Buftea, Buftea
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Afumati host Steaua Bucuresti in the Liga 2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Steaua Bucuresti have shipped 1.84 goals a game lately, while Afumati have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.71. Past meetings favor Steaua Bucuresti slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 5:4. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.31) point toward Steaua Bucuresti. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Afumati
20%
Draws
40%
Steaua Bucuresti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Afumati have managed 1.71 goals a game lately — Steaua Bucuresti are scoring more at 1.78.
  • Win probability leans Afumati's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Steaua Bucuresti have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Afumati Clean Sheet 18%
Steaua Bucuresti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afumati Steaua Bucuresti
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.71 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Afumati vs Steaua Bucuresti
5:4
Mar 7, 2026 Liga 2
Afumati vs Steaua Bucuresti
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 Liga 2
Afumati vs Steaua Bucuresti
0:4
Jul 17, 2021 Club Friendly
Steaua Bucuresti vs Afumati
4:0
May 30, 2021 Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs
Afumati vs Steaua Bucuresti
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afumati 41 / 100
Steaua Bucuresti 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afumati Steaua Bucuresti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Steaua Bucuresti conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Afumati scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Afumati went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Afumati VS Steaua Bucuresti
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Afumati

(Home)
02 Oct
Petrolul
3 : 2
Afumati
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Afumati
2 : 2
FC ASA Tg. Mures
05 Sept
Concordia
1 : 2
Afumati
29 Aug
Afumati
2 : 1
Unirea Slobozia
Page 1 of 6

Steaua Bucuresti

(Away)
08 Oct
Politehnica Timisoara
1 : 1
Steaua Bucuresti
02 Oct
Concordia
2 : 3
Steaua Bucuresti
26 Sept
Steaua Bucuresti
4 : 1
Stefanesti
19 Sept
Steaua Bucuresti
2 : 1
Gloria Bistrita
12 Sept
FC Bihor
3 : 0
Steaua Bucuresti
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Slatina 9 7 1 1 18:8 22
2 Politehnica Timisoara 9 6 3 0 19:8 21
3 CSM Resita 9 7 0 2 16:9 21
4 Chindia Targoviste 9 6 0 3 20:10 18
5 Popesti Leordeni 9 5 3 1 22:14 18
6 Afumati 9 5 2 2 16:12 17
7 Metalul Buzau 9 5 2 2 10:7 17
8 FC Bacau 8 4 3 1 19:8 15
9 Cetatea Suceava 9 4 3 2 18:12 15
10 Concordia 9 5 0 4 19:16 15
11 Gloria Bistrita 9 5 0 4 13:10 15
12 FC ASA Tg. Mures 9 3 2 4 12:16 11
13 Metaloglobus Bucharest 9 3 2 4 11:15 11
14 Ramnicu Valcea 9 3 2 4 10:14 11
15 FC Bihor 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
16 Unirea Slobozia 9 2 1 6 12:12 7
17 Steaua Bucuresti 9 1 3 5 10:18 6
18 Selimbar 9 1 3 5 7:15 6
19 Stefanesti 9 2 0 7 6:19 6
20 CSM Satu Mare 9 0 5 4 5:12 5
21 CS Din. Bucuresti 9 1 1 7 11:29 4
22 CSC Dumbravita 9 0 3 6 6:19 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)