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Agboville vs Mouna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Agboville and Mouna finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mouna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Agboville
30%
Draws
33%
Mouna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Agboville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mouna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Agboville are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Mouna here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Agboville Clean Sheet 68%
Mouna Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agboville Mouna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2026 Ligue 1
Agboville vs Mouna
0:1
May 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Mouna vs Agboville
1:1
Dec 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Agboville vs Mouna
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agboville 59 / 100
Mouna 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agboville Mouna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agboville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Agboville has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Agboville scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Mouna has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Agboville VS Mouna
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Agboville

(Home)
19 Oct
Agboville
0 : 1
Mouna
15 Oct
Agboville
2 : 1
Adiake
10 Oct
Stade d'Abidjan
1 : 1
Agboville
27 Sept
Korhogo
0 : 1
Agboville
24 May
Agboville
0 : 0
Tchologo
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Mouna

(Away)
19 Oct
Agboville
0 : 1
Mouna
11 Oct
Mouna
0 : 1
SOL
06 Oct
Mouna
0 : 2
Yamoussoukro
26 Sept
Stade d'Abidjan
0 : 0
Mouna
24 May
Korhogo
1 : 2
Mouna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yamoussoukro 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 SO Armee 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
3 Zoman 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Agboville 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
5 San Pedro 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
6 SOL 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
7 Stade d'Abidjan 3 1 2 0 7:6 5
8 ISCA 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
9 Bouake 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
10 Korhogo 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
11 Academie de FAD 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
12 Stella Adjame 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
13 ASEC Mimosas 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
14 Tchologo 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
15 Mouna 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
16 Adiake 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)