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Agias Marinas vs Aias

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Agias Marinas play Aias in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6. It looks like a close match. Recently, Agias Marinas averaged 0.74 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. Aias averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Agias Marinas won 1, Aias won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 5, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Agias Marinas and 1.44 for Aias. This points to a Aias double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Agias Marinas
21%
Draws
48%
Aias
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Aias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Agias Marinas picked up more points recently compared to Aias.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Agias Marinas Clean Sheet 16%
Aias Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agias Marinas Aias
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0.74 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Agias Marinas vs Aias
2:1
Jan 18, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Agias Marinas vs Aias
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Aias vs Agias Marinas
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agias Marinas 31 / 100
Aias 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agias Marinas Aias

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aias or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Agias Marinas attacking → ← attacking Aias

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agias Marinas scored in 52% of their last 27 games.

Aias let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Agias Marinas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Aias lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 25
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ethnikos Piraeus22147132:1749
2Ionikos22116525:2039
3Saronikos Anavyssou22115626:1638
4Mykonos22114730:2537
5Kyanos Astir Varis22106632:2336
6Thyella Diastavroseos2296726:2033
7Atsalenios FC2285925:2529
8Giouchtas22841030:3028
9AO Ilisiakos2276925:2927
10Chaidari22731224:2624
11Aias22631320:2821
12Agias Marinas22131813:496