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Agios Matthaios vs Aris Filiaton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
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AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 game between Agios Matthaios and Aris Filiaton finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aris Filiaton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Agios Matthaios
30%
Draws
41%
Aris Filiaton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aris Filiaton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Aris Filiaton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Aris Filiaton taking it.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Agios Matthaios Clean Sheet 20%
Aris Filiaton Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agios Matthaios Aris Filiaton
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.76 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Agios Matthaios vs Aris Filiaton
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agios Matthaios 24 / 100
Aris Filiaton 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agios Matthaios Aris Filiaton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Filiaton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Agios Matthaios stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Agios Matthaios scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Aris Filiaton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Agios Matthaios VS Aris Filiaton
0.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Agios Matthaios

(Home)
04 Oct
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Agios Matthaios
27 Sept
Agios Matthaios
0 : 2
Aris Filiaton
10 Apr
Asteras Kalirachis
1 : 1
Agios Matthaios
03 Apr
Agios Matthaios
2 : 2
Iraklis Ampelokipi
30 Mar
Agios Matthaios
2 : 3
Poseidonas Michanionas
Page 1 of 6

Aris Filiaton

(Away)
04 Oct
Aris Filiaton
1 : 2
Panegialios FC
27 Sept
Agios Matthaios
0 : 2
Aris Filiaton
08 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
2 : 0
Aris Filiaton
05 Apr
AO Trikala
0 : 0
Aris Filiaton
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atromitos Patras 2 2 0 0 12:0 6
2 Preveza 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Panegialios FC 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
4 Plataria 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Panachaiki 2 1 0 1 6:2 3
6 Aris Filiaton 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 Tilikratis Lefkada 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Agios Matthaios 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
9 Pallixouriakos 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Lefkimmi 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
11 Panagriniakos 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
12 Levante 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 (Losers stage)