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Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025

AO Tympakiou

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Agios Nikolaos play AO Tympakiou in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025. Agios Nikolaos are favorites here. Recently, Agios Nikolaos averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. AO Tympakiou averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Agios Nikolaos won 3, AO Tympakiou won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 16, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Agios Nikolaos and 0.76 for AO Tympakiou. This points to a Agios Nikolaos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Agios Nikolaos

15%

Draws

20%

AO Tympakiou

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Agios Nikolaos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Agios Nikolaos picked up more points recently compared to AO Tympakiou.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 0.76 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Agios Nikolaos Clean Sheet 27%

AO Tympakiou Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Agios Nikolaos	AO Tympakiou
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	4
Draws	4	5
Losses	13	21
Goals Scored	1.13	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.07	1.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Agios Nikolaos vs AO Tympakiou

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 0 - 0

3:0

Nov 24, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

AO Tympakiou vs Agios Nikolaos

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Mar 26, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5

AO Tympakiou vs Agios Nikolaos

Possession: 41% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Jan 7, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5

Agios Nikolaos vs AO Tympakiou

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agios Nikolaos 64 / 100

AO Tympakiou 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Agios Nikolaos AO Tympakiou

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agios Nikolaos Win (1)

Secondary Pick Agios Nikolaos & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.7%

1.75

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Agios Nikolaos attacking → ← attacking AO Tympakiou

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agios Nikolaos scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

AO Tympakiou let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Agios Nikolaos went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

AO Tympakiou lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 17

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marko	32	22	8	2	61:22	74
2	Ethnikos Piraeus	32	22	7	3	62:20	73
3	Nea Ionia	32	20	7	5	54:25	67
4	Chaidari	32	15	9	8	36:24	54
5	Aris Petroupolis	32	15	7	10	39:31	52
6	Atsalenios FC	32	14	6	12	43:43	48
7	Giouchtas	32	14	5	13	39:40	47
8	AO Ilisiakos	32	14	5	13	50:41	47
9	Asteras Kaisarianis	32	13	8	11	32:24	47
10	Kyanos Astir Varis	32	12	9	11	40:33	45
11	Thyella Diastavroseos	32	11	11	10	34:32	44
12	Agios Nikolaos	32	13	5	14	34:36	44
13	Karavas	32	7	6	19	27:58	27
14	Mandraikos	32	6	8	18	34:51	26
15	Thiva F.C.	32	7	5	20	27:55	26
16	AO Tympakiou	32	5	6	21	33:60	21
17	Rethymniakos	32	4	4	24	25:75	16