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Aglianese Calcio vs Forli FC

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Pecci C.
34' Event
Merlonghi M.
55' Event
Gaiola R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 game between Aglianese Calcio and Forli FC finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forli FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Aglianese Calcio
39%
Draws
31%
Forli FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Aglianese Calcio haven't matched Forli FC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Aglianese Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Forli FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aglianese Calcio Forli FC
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Aglianese Calcio vs Forli FC
0:4
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Aglianese Calcio
3:0
Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Aglianese Calcio vs Forli FC
1:0
Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Aglianese Calcio
2:0
Feb 2, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Aglianese Calcio vs Forli FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aglianese Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Forli FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pecci C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Merlonghi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aglianese Calcio 31 / 100
Forli FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aglianese Calcio Forli FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aglianese Calcio scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Forli FC conceded in 70% of 37 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aglianese Calcio stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Forli FC
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Carpi32215666:3168
2Ravenna32199456:1366
3Corticella321831159:4057
4Victor San Marino32176944:3757
5Lentigione32168849:3156
6Forli FC32167948:3555
7Prato321281237:4144
8Sangiuliano City321281232:3744
9Fanfulla3211101128:3543
10Sant'Angelo321181347:4441
11Aglianese Calcio321181332:3941
12Imolese321261431:3340
13Sammaurese321141737:4837
14SCD Progresso321141727:4337
15San Donnino325101732:5825
16Certaldo32662022:5524
17Mezzolara32562123:5021
18Pistoiese00000:00