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Agnonese vs Nerostellati Pratola

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Agnonese play Nerostellati Pratola in the Serie D - Group F 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Agnonese averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Nerostellati Pratola averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Agnonese won 1, Nerostellati Pratola won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 29, 2018 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Agnonese and 1.56 for Nerostellati Pratola. This points to a Agnonese double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Agnonese
20%
Draws
38%
Nerostellati Pratola
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Agnonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Agnonese has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nerostellati Pratola.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Agnonese.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Agnonese Clean Sheet 15%
Nerostellati Pratola Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agnonese Nerostellati Pratola
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 4 3
Draws 7 9
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Nerostellati Pratola vs Agnonese
1:1
Dec 10, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Nerostellati Pratola
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agnonese 41 / 100
Nerostellati Pratola 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agnonese Nerostellati Pratola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agnonese scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Nerostellati Pratola let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Agnonese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nerostellati Pratola lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Agnonese VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vis Pesaro34234761:2973
2Matelica34225766:2871
3Avezzano341614451:2662
4Pineto341512753:4157
5Aquila Calcio341510957:4055
6ASD Francavilla341411947:3853
7San Marino Calcio341561345:3551
8Vastese341561355:5051
9Sangiustese341391239:4148
10Campobasso3413101141:4045
11Castelfidardo341281443:5444
12Recanatese341271547:4743
13Agnonese341181534:3541
14Notaresco Calcio341171642:5140
15Jesina348101632:4634
16Monticelli345151425:4530
17Fabriano Cerreto34552429:6920
18Nerostellati Pratola34392219:7118