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Agoncillo vs CD Calahorra Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Diaz M.
9' Event
Diaz M.
28' Event
Arriaga A.

AI Match Summary

CD Calahorra in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Calahorra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Agoncillo
20%
Draws
51%
CD Calahorra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Calahorra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Calahorra have won more games recently than Agoncillo.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Agoncillo Clean Sheet 10%
CD Calahorra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agoncillo CD Calahorra
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.91 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs CD Calahorra
3:5
Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Agoncillo
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs CD Calahorra
0:0
Feb 3, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs CD Calahorra
0:4
Sep 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Agoncillo
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agoncillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Arriaga A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamoudi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

CD Calahorra Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aldama P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agoncillo 30 / 100
CD Calahorra 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agoncillo CD Calahorra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Calahorra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agoncillo's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Agoncillo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

CD Calahorra let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Agoncillo VS CD Calahorra
2 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Agoncillo

(Home)
26 Sept
Casalarreina CF
1 : 5
Agoncillo
18 Sept
Agoncillo
3 : 5
CD Calahorra
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1
Agoncillo
05 Sept
Agoncillo
1 : 1
Haro Deportivo
10 May
Vianes
2 : 1
Agoncillo
Page 1 of 7

CD Calahorra

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Calahorra
5 : 0
Calasancio
18 Sept
Agoncillo
3 : 5
CD Calahorra
13 Sept
CD Calahorra
2 : 0
Oyonesa
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 4 3 1 0 10:5 10
2 CD Calahorra 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Berceo 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
4 CDFC La Calzada 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
5 Pradejon 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
6 Alfaro 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
7 Varea 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Agoncillo 4 1 2 1 10:8 5
9 Cenicero 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Anguiano 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 San Marcial 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
12 Comillas CF 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
13 Oyonesa 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Yague 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
15 Casalarreina CF 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
16 River Ebro 4 1 0 3 4:12 3
17 Calasancio 4 0 2 2 5:11 2
18 Vianes 4 0 1 3 5:8 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)