Sport Picks
Agoncillo vs CDFC La Calzada
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 
Match Events
17'
17'
Muro M.
67'
67'
Perez D.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Agoncillo and CDFC La Calzada finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
20%
65%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CDFC La Calzada
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Agoncillo come out ahead of CDFC La Calzada on wins alone.
- Model gives CDFC La Calzada a 65% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Agoncillo Clean Sheet 15%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Agoncillo | CDFC La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs CDFC La Calzada
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Agoncillo
2:3
Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs CDFC La Calzada
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Agoncillo
3:0
May 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs CDFC La Calzada
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Agoncillo Compare
Top Goalscorer Perez D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
CDFC La Calzada Compare
Top Goalscorer Muro M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Agoncillo 27 / 100
CDFC La Calzada 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Agoncillo CDFC La Calzada
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CDFC La Calzada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Agoncillo scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: CDFC La Calzada conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Agoncillo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Agoncillo VS CDFC La Calzada
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Agoncillo
(Home) 13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1 Agoncillo
05 Sept
Agoncillo
1 : 1 Haro Deportivo
10 May
Vianes
2 : 1 Agoncillo
03 May
Agoncillo
1 : 2 Arnedo
26 Apr
San Marcial
4 : 3 Agoncillo
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Agoncillo
1 : 1 Haro Deportivo
03 May
Agoncillo
1 : 2 Arnedo
19 Apr
Agoncillo
1 : 1 CDFC La Calzada
01 Apr
Agoncillo
4 : 1 Pena Balsamaiso
21 Mar
Agoncillo
0 : 0 Berceo
Page 1 of 3
CDFC La Calzada
(Away) 13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3 CDFC La Calzada
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1 CD Calahorra
19 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 1 Mirandes
15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4 San Ignacio
10 May
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 1 Pradejon
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3 CDFC La Calzada
03 May
Anguiano
1 : 0 CDFC La Calzada
19 Apr
Agoncillo
1 : 1 CDFC La Calzada
05 Apr
CD Calahorra
3 : 1 CDFC La Calzada
22 Mar
Vianes
4 : 0 CDFC La Calzada
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 34 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 99:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Varea | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 72:26 | 72 |
| 4 | CD Calahorra | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 86:26 | 63 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 54:41 | 61 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 49:36 | 60 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54:46 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 59:49 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Yague | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 48:52 | 40 |
| 11 | San Marcial | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Berceo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:50 | 39 |
| 13 | CDFC La Calzada | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Comillas CF | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 32:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 30:49 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 36:66 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 20:80 | 18 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 34 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 27:86 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
