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Agoncillo vs River Ebro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Sainz Medrano R.
38'
Sainz Medrano R.
55' Event
Gurria J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Agoncillo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Agoncillo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Agoncillo
20%
Draws
23%
River Ebro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Agoncillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Agoncillo lately — more wins on the board than River Ebro.
  • Win probability leans Agoncillo's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Agoncillo Clean Sheet 17%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agoncillo River Ebro
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.74 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs River Ebro
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Agoncillo
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs River Ebro
2:0
Mar 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Agoncillo
0:0
Nov 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs River Ebro
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agoncillo 75 / 100
River Ebro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agoncillo River Ebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agoncillo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agoncillo's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

River Ebro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Agoncillo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

River Ebro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Agoncillo VS River Ebro
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Agoncillo

(Home)
01 Nov
Agoncillo
1 : 0
River Ebro
25 Oct
Berceo
1 : 3
Agoncillo
17 Oct
Agoncillo
2 : 2
Comillas CF
11 Oct
Varea
1 : 0
Agoncillo
04 Oct
Agoncillo
2 : 0
Vianes
Page 1 of 7

River Ebro

(Away)
01 Nov
Agoncillo
1 : 0
River Ebro
25 Oct
River Ebro
2 : 1
Oyonesa
18 Oct
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
River Ebro
08 Oct
River Ebro
1 : 2
Pradejon
04 Oct
San Marcial
1 : 1
River Ebro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 9 7 1 1 22:13 22
2 CDFC La Calzada 9 7 0 2 15:11 21
3 Alfaro 9 6 1 2 12:8 19
4 CD Calahorra 9 6 0 3 26:10 18
5 Berceo 9 6 0 3 21:11 18
6 Anguiano 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
7 Varea 9 4 4 1 8:5 16
8 Agoncillo 9 4 3 2 18:12 15
9 San Marcial 9 4 3 2 12:7 15
10 Oyonesa 9 4 2 3 14:11 14
11 Pradejon 9 4 1 4 10:12 13
12 Yague 9 3 0 6 9:19 9
13 Calasancio 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
14 River Ebro 9 2 1 6 9:19 7
15 Comillas CF 9 1 3 5 6:12 6
16 Cenicero 9 1 2 6 8:16 5
17 Vianes 9 1 1 7 10:17 4
18 Casalarreina CF 9 1 0 8 6:23 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)