Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Agoncillo vs Villegas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Brun L.
57' Event
Hamoudi N.
65' Event
Peso A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Agoncillo and Villegas finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Agoncillo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Agoncillo
30%
Draws
47%
Villegas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villegas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Agoncillo come out ahead of Villegas on wins alone.
  • Agoncillo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Agoncillo Clean Sheet 12%
Villegas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agoncillo Villegas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.8 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Villegas
3:0
Sep 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Agoncillo
0:0
Jan 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Villegas
3:0
Oct 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Agoncillo
2:2
Jan 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Villegas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agoncillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Brun L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamoudi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Villegas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agoncillo 38 / 100
Villegas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agoncillo Villegas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agoncillo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agoncillo scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Villegas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Difficult form: Villegas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Agoncillo VS Villegas
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Agoncillo

(Home)
10 May
Vianes
2 : 1
Agoncillo
03 May
Agoncillo
1 : 2
Arnedo
26 Apr
San Marcial
4 : 3
Agoncillo
19 Apr
Agoncillo
1 : 1
CDFC La Calzada
12 Apr
Varea
3 : 1
Agoncillo
Page 1 of 6

Villegas

(Away)
10 May
Comillas CF
1 : 0
Villegas
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1
Vianes
26 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 1
Villegas
18 Apr
Villegas
2 : 2
San Marcial
12 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Villegas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)