Sport Picks
Dep. Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca 
Match Events
11'
11'
Diaz M.
42'
42'
Hernandez J.
44'
44'
Arboleda C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Mushuc Runa have won more games recently than Dep. Cuenca.
- Dep. Cuenca are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 20%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dep. Cuenca | Mushuc Runa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.74 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa
1:1
Aug 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Dep. Cuenca
4:1
Jun 28, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Dep. Cuenca
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dep. Cuenca 36 / 100
Mushuc Runa 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dep. Cuenca Mushuc Runa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mushuc Runa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Dep. Cuenca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Dep. Cuenca scored in 58% of their last 31 games.
Scoring Trends
Dep. Cuenca VS Mushuc Runa
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Dep. Cuenca
(Home) 20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1 Mushuc Runa
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1 Dep. Cuenca
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1 Libertad
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0 Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1 Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1 Mushuc Runa
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1 Libertad
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0 Guayaquil City
22 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 0 Mushuc Runa
11 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 2 Manta
Page 1 of 3
Mushuc Runa
(Away) 20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1 Mushuc Runa
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1 Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0 Mushuc Runa
28 Aug
Mushuc Runa
1 : 0 Delfin
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1 Mushuc Runa
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1 Mushuc Runa
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0 Mushuc Runa
22 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 0 Mushuc Runa
10 Aug
Tecnico U.
0 : 3 Mushuc Runa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
