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Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense vs AA Goiatuba

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense play AA Goiatuba in the Goiano 2 2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. AA Goiatuba averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. In past meetings, Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense won 0, AA Goiatuba won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 3, 2011 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense and 1.56 for AA Goiatuba. This points to a AA Goiatuba double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense
20%
Draws
48%
AA Goiatuba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AA Goiatuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense picked up more points recently compared to AA Goiatuba.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense Clean Sheet 15%
AA Goiatuba Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense AA Goiatuba
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 5 1
Draws 4 4
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2011 Goiano 2
Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense vs AA Goiatuba
0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense 32 / 100
AA Goiatuba 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense AA Goiatuba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: AA Goiatuba or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense attacking → ← attacking AA Goiatuba

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

AA Goiatuba let in goals in 91% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

AA Goiatuba lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 7
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Anapolis1182127:726
2Mineiros1174019:825
3Rio Verde1172223:1323
4Itumbiara1171320:1422
5Itaucu EC1163216:1021
6Goiania1136219:1815
7Jataiense1134417:1913
8Ipora1140712:1412
9Inhumas1132623:2511
10AA Goiatuba1114613:217
11Rioverdense1112819:395
12Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense1110108:283