Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 2

Erciyes 38

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Agri 1970 play Erciyes 38 in the 3. Lig Group 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Agri 1970 averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Erciyes 38 averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, Agri 1970 won 1, Erciyes 38 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Agri 1970 and 1.69 for Erciyes 38. This points to a Agri 1970 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Agri 1970

27%

Draws

36%

Erciyes 38

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Agri 1970

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Agri 1970 picked up more points recently compared to Erciyes 38.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Agri 1970 Clean Sheet 13%

Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Agri 1970	Erciyes 38
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	13	14
Draws	8	10
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	1.97	1.45
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.18
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 3. Lig Group 2

Agri 1970 vs Erciyes 38

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Oct 5, 2025 3. Lig Group 2

Erciyes 38 vs Agri 1970

Possession: 49% - 40% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Apr 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 4

Agri 1970 vs Erciyes 38

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Dec 1, 2024 3. Lig Group 4

Erciyes 38 vs Agri 1970

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 0 - 0

2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agri 1970 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilic B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Erciyes 38 Compare

Top Goalscorer Akcakin A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yigit S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agri 1970 36 / 100

Erciyes 38 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Agri 1970 Erciyes 38

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Agri 1970 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Agri 1970 attacking → ← attacking Erciyes 38

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agri 1970 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Erciyes 38 let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Agri 1970 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Erciyes 38 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 52

2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	12 Bingol Spor	30	17	9	4	60:28	60
2	Erciyes 38	30	13	10	7	42:31	49
3	Silifke	30	12	12	6	41:26	48
4	Malatya	30	13	8	9	45:35	47
5	Mazidagi	30	12	11	7	32:24	47
6	Agri 1970	30	12	9	9	57:33	45
7	Karakopru	30	12	8	10	38:42	44
8	Osmaniyespor	30	12	6	12	42:40	42
9	Nigde	30	11	8	11	44:36	41
10	Kirikkale FK	30	11	7	12	39:51	40
11	Kirsehir SK	30	7	13	10	37:38	34
12	Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)	30	8	10	12	33:42	34
13	Kahramanmarasspor	30	7	11	12	35:48	32
14	Kilis Bld.	30	8	6	16	25:53	30
15	Suvermez Kapadokyaspor	30	5	13	12	29:47	28
16	Turk Metal 1963	30	4	11	15	30:55	20