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Agrimaq vs Guarany Alagoano Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Araujo Silva M.
33' Event
Galeguinho

AI Match Summary

Guarany Alagoano in this Alagoano 2 2025 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Agrimaq
30%
Draws
37%
Guarany Alagoano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarany Alagoano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Agrimaq haven't matched Guarany Alagoano's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Guarany Alagoano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarany Alagoano, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guarany Alagoano have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Agrimaq Clean Sheet 12%
Guarany Alagoano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agrimaq Guarany Alagoano
Matches Played 9 28
Wins 4 15
Draws 1 7
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.56 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.56 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Alagoano 2
Guarany Alagoano vs Agrimaq
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Alagoano 2
Agrimaq vs Guarany Alagoano
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 Alagoano 2
Agrimaq vs Guarany Alagoano
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agrimaq Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Guarany Alagoano Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo Silva M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galeguinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agrimaq 35 / 100
Guarany Alagoano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agrimaq Guarany Alagoano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarany Alagoano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Agrimaq scored in 67% of their last 9 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Agrimaq has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Guarany Alagoano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Agrimaq VS Guarany Alagoano
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Agrimaq

(Home)
04 Oct
Guarany Alagoano
1 : 1
Agrimaq
27 Sept
Agrimaq
0 : 2
Guarany Alagoano
21 Sept
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1
Agrimaq
13 Sept
Zumbi
1 : 2
Agrimaq
06 Sept
Agrimaq
3 : 0
Dimensao Capela
Page 1 of 2

Guarany Alagoano

(Away)
18 Oct
Guarany Alagoano
2 : 2
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
12 Oct
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1
Guarany Alagoano
04 Oct
Guarany Alagoano
1 : 1
Agrimaq
27 Sept
Agrimaq
0 : 2
Guarany Alagoano
21 Sept
Miguelense
1 : 4
Guarany Alagoano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Guarany Alagoano 3
Agrimaq 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca 4
Dimensao Capela 2
Final
Guarany Alagoano 3
Cruzeiro Arapiraca 4