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Agua Santa U20 vs Palmeiras U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Felpa M.
47' Event
Juan Gabriel
78' Event
Azevedo L.

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmeiras U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Agua Santa U20
15%
Draws
58%
Palmeiras U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palmeiras U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palmeiras U20 lately — more wins on the board than Agua Santa U20.
  • Win probability leans Palmeiras U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Palmeiras U20 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Agua Santa U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agua Santa U20 Palmeiras U20
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 20
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.3 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Paulista U20
Agua Santa U20 vs Palmeiras U20
1:2
May 18, 2025 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Agua Santa U20
6:1
Oct 4, 2023 Paulista U20
Agua Santa U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0:2
Sep 17, 2023 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Agua Santa U20
4:1
Jan 11, 2022 Copinha
Agua Santa U20 vs Palmeiras U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agua Santa U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Azevedo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Palmeiras U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Felpa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Juan Gabriel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.89
Avg xA / game 1.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agua Santa U20 10 / 100
Palmeiras U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agua Santa U20 Palmeiras U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Agua Santa U20 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Palmeiras U20 conceded in 44% of 27 recent games.

Agua Santa U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Agua Santa U20 VS Palmeiras U20
0.83 Goals Scored 2
2.17 Goals Conceded 0.38
67% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Agua Santa U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Agua Santa U20
0 : 2
Capivariano U20
19 Sept
Capivariano U20
0 : 1
Agua Santa U20
12 Sept
Bragantino U20
8 : 0
Agua Santa U20
08 Sept
Agua Santa U20
1 : 2
Palmeiras U20
21 Aug
Agua Santa U20
1 : 0
Tanabi U20
Page 1 of 6

Palmeiras U20

(Away)
09 Oct
Palmeiras U20
4 : 3
Santos U20
25 Sept
Palmeiras U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
21 Sept
Ituano U20
1 : 1
Palmeiras U20
16 Sept
Palmeiras U20
10 : 0
Naviraiense U20
12 Sept
Palmeiras U20
3 : 0
Sfera U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)