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Agua Santa vs Piracicaba Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

84'
Vitao
88' Event
Edson Carius

AI Match Summary

Piracicaba in this Paulista A2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Piracicaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Agua Santa
30%
Draws
29%
Piracicaba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Agua Santa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Piracicaba haven't matched Agua Santa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Agua Santa a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Agua Santa Clean Sheet 68%
Piracicaba Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agua Santa Piracicaba
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 14
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Paulista A2
Agua Santa vs Piracicaba
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Paulista A2
Piracicaba vs Agua Santa
0:0
Jan 21, 2026 Paulista A2
Piracicaba vs Agua Santa
0:0
Sep 16, 2022 Copa Paulista
Piracicaba vs Agua Santa
2:1
Sep 10, 2022 Copa Paulista
Agua Santa vs Piracicaba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agua Santa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Piracicaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Edson Carius
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agua Santa 77 / 100
Piracicaba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agua Santa Piracicaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agua Santa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Agua Santa scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Piracicaba conceded in 65% of 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Agua Santa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Agua Santa VS Piracicaba
1.17 Goals Scored 0.88
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Agua Santa

(Home)
27 Jun
Agua Santa
1 : 2
Velo Clube
20 Jun
Velo Clube
0 : 0
Agua Santa
06 Jun
America RJ
1 : 0
Agua Santa
30 May
Agua Santa
4 : 1
Madureira
23 May
Agua Santa
2 : 0
Pouso Alegre
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Piracicaba

(Away)
22 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
18 Aug
Comercial
0 : 1
Piracicaba
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1
Piracicaba
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Noroeste
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2
Comercial
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Votuporanguense 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
2 Ituano 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
3 Piracicaba 6 2 2 2 6:4 8
4 Agua Santa 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 6 4 0 2 9:5 12
2 Juventus-SP 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
3 Sao Jose EC 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 Sertaozinho 6 1 0 5 4:13 3
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Play Offs)