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Agudat Sport Ashdod vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

Israel Israel

State Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event

AI Match Summary

The State Cup 2024/2025 game between Agudat Sport Ashdod and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Agudat Sport Ashdod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Agudat Sport Ashdod
28%
Draws
22%
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Agudat Sport Ashdod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Agudat Sport Ashdod carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Agudat Sport Ashdod's way, sitting at 50%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal State Cup 2024/2025 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Agudat Sport Ashdod here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Agudat Sport Ashdod Clean Sheet 68%
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agudat Sport Ashdod Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2024 State Cup
Agudat Sport Ashdod vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
1:0
Mar 8, 2019 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Agudat Sport Ashdod
0:7
Nov 3, 2018 Liga Alef South
Agudat Sport Ashdod vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agudat Sport Ashdod 59 / 100
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agudat Sport Ashdod Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Agudat Sport Ashdod found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Agudat Sport Ashdod VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
MS Kafr Qasim-
TBD-
TBD-
H. Raanana-
Nof Hagalil-
TBD-
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem8
Maccabi Yehud Monosson0
Hapoel Afula-
TBD-
Hapoel Karmiel3
Hapoel Marmorek2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Ashdod-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Jerusalem-
Maccabi Bnei Raina-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Kfar Shalem-
Maccabi Petah Tikva-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shmona-
Sakhnin-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
H. Ironi Rishon-
TBD-
Ironi Modiin1
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik0
Ihud Bnei Baqa0
Tzeirey Um El Fahem2
Akiva1
Ironi Nesher3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Akko-
Holon Yermiyahu2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus0
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek0
Kiryat Yam2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Hapoel Ramat Gan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yehuda-
Ramat Hasharon-
TBD-
Hapoel Azor1
Ironi Baka3
M. Herzliya-
TBD-
Ironi Beit Shemesh1
Hapoel Bnei Lod2
Hapoel Haifa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Petah Tikva-
TBD-
Hapoel Hod Hasharon2
Maccabi Yavne1
Ironi Tiberias-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maccabi Jaffa-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
FC Dimona4
Bnei Tira0
M. Nazareth2
Hapoel Daliyat3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1
Dizengoff Tel Aviv0
Beit Shean3
Hapoel Segev Shalom0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Hadera-
Maccabi Haifa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil0
Ashkelon2
Agudat Sport Ashdod1
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Kfar Saba-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Netanya-
1/32-finals
MS Kafr Qasim1
H. Raanana3
Nof Hagalil2
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem3
Hapoel Afula6
Hapoel Karmiel0
TBD-
SC Ashdod-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Jerusalem-
Maccabi Bnei Raina-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Kfar Shalem-
Maccabi Petah Tikva-
TBD-
TBD-
Shmona-
Sakhnin-
TBD-
H. Ironi Rishon0
Ironi Modiin1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem1
Ironi Nesher0
TBD-
Hapoel Akko-
Holon Yermiyahu0
Kiryat Yam2
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Hapoel Ramat Gan-
TBD-
TBD-
Yehuda-
Ramat Hasharon6
Ironi Baka2
M. Herzliya2
Hapoel Bnei Lod0
Hapoel Haifa-
TBD-
Hapoel Petah Tikva5
Hapoel Hod Hasharon0
Ironi Tiberias-
TBD-
Maccabi Jaffa1
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
FC Dimona7
Hapoel Daliyat0
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1
Beit Shean3
TBD-
Hapoel Hadera-
Maccabi Haifa-
TBD-
Ashkelon1
Agudat Sport Ashdod0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm2
Hapoel Kfar Saba1
TBD-
Netanya-
1/16-finals
H. Raanana2
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem4
Hapoel Afula3
SC Ashdod4
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Hapoel Jerusalem0
Maccabi Bnei Raina3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem0
Maccabi Petah Tikva2
Shmona0
Sakhnin4
Ironi Modiin3
Tzeirey Um El Fahem0
Hapoel Akko2
Kiryat Yam2
Beitar Jerusalem3
Hapoel Ramat Gan3
Yehuda2
Ramat Hasharon1
M. Herzliya0
Hapoel Haifa2
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
Ironi Tiberias0
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
FC Dimona0
H. Beer Sheva4
Beit Shean1
Hapoel Hadera2
Maccabi Haifa6
Ashkelon0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm0
Netanya2
1/8-finals
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem1
SC Ashdod4
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Maccabi Bnei Raina2
Maccabi Petah Tikva1
Sakhnin2
Hapoel Akko0
Beitar Jerusalem1
Hapoel Ramat Gan7
Ramat Hasharon0
Hapoel Haifa1
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
H. Beer Sheva6
Hapoel Hadera0
Maccabi Haifa1
Netanya0
Quarter-finals
SC Ashdod1
Maccabi Bnei Raina3
Sakhnin0
Beitar Jerusalem3
Hapoel Ramat Gan0
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
H. Beer Sheva2
Maccabi Haifa0
Semi-finals
Maccabi Bnei Raina1
Beitar Jerusalem5
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva5
Final
Beitar Jerusalem0
H. Beer Sheva2