Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 Estádio Municipal de Águeda

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Agueda host Lusitania FC in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Agueda at 0 goals for, 0 against; Lusitania FC at 1.13 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Agueda have won 0 to Lusitania FC's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2021, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 1.11) point toward Lusitania FC. Lusitania FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Agueda

33%

Draws

40%

Lusitania FC

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lusitania FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Lusitania FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Agueda.
Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Lusitania FC.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Agueda Clean Sheet 21%

Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Agueda	Lusitania FC
Matches Played	24	29
Wins	4	10
Draws	5	8
Losses	15	11
Goals Scored	0	1.13
Goals Conceded	0	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Agueda vs Lusitania FC

Possession: 53% - 40% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Nov 22, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Lusitania FC vs Agueda

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

3:2

Mar 24, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Agueda vs Lusitania FC

Possession: 56% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Nov 4, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Lusitania FC vs Agueda

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agueda 29 / 100

Lusitania FC 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Agueda Lusitania FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agueda scored in 54% of their last 24 games.

Lusitania FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Agueda went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Lusitania FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lusitania FC

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 1.5

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Anadia	22	13	5	4	39:15	44
2	Canelas 2010	22	12	5	5	28:13	41
3	Lusitania FC	22	11	6	5	38:26	39
4	Sao Joao de Ver	22	10	8	4	30:14	38
5	Sanjoanense	22	8	12	2	26:13	36
6	Castro Daire	22	10	5	7	23:24	35
7	Valadares Gaia FC	22	10	3	9	36:27	33
8	SC Espinho	22	9	4	9	33:22	31
9	Beira Mar	22	9	4	9	30:23	31
10	Agueda	22	4	5	13	17:28	17
11	Lusitano FCV	22	4	4	14	17:34	16
12	Vila Cortez	22	1	1	20	8:86	4