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Aguia De Maraba U20 vs Tuna Luso U20

Brazil Brazil

Paraense U20 2024 Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aguia De Maraba U20 play Tuna Luso U20 in the Paraense U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aguia De Maraba U20 averaged 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Tuna Luso U20 averaged 2.83 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Aguia De Maraba U20 won 1, Tuna Luso U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 26, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Aguia De Maraba U20 and 2.00 for Tuna Luso U20. This points to a Aguia De Maraba U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aguia De Maraba U20
15%
Draws
42%
Tuna Luso U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aguia De Maraba U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguia De Maraba U20 picked up more points recently compared to Tuna Luso U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Aguia De Maraba U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Tuna Luso U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguia De Maraba U20 Tuna Luso U20
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 13 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.1 2.83
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Paraense U20
Tuna Luso U20 vs Aguia De Maraba U20
3:1
Jan 18, 2025 Paraense U20
Aguia De Maraba U20 vs Tuna Luso U20
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia De Maraba U20 41 / 100
Tuna Luso U20 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguia De Maraba U20 Tuna Luso U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aguia De Maraba U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aguia De Maraba U20 attacking → ← attacking Tuna Luso U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia De Maraba U20 scored in 90% of their last 21 games.

Tuna Luso U20 let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Aguia De Maraba U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tuna Luso U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 61
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 3.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00