Sport Picks
Aguia De Maraba vs ABC
Brazil
Serie D Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira, Marabá 
Match Events
8'
8'
Diogo Carlos
(Penalty)
49'
49'
Carlos Maia
61'
61'
Igor Bahia
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ABC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and ABC come out ahead of Aguia De Maraba on wins alone.
- Win probability leans ABC's way, sitting at 40%.
- ABC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Aguia De Maraba, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 17%
ABC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aguia De Maraba | ABC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 15 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 0.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.66 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Serie D
ABC vs Aguia De Maraba
3:0
Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
Aguia De Maraba vs ABC
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aguia De Maraba Compare
Top Goalscorer Carlos Maia
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83
ABC Compare
Top Goalscorer Igor Bahia
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aguia De Maraba 28 / 100
ABC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aguia De Maraba ABC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ABC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aguia De Maraba scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
ABC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 33 matches.
Aguia De Maraba went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aguia De Maraba VS ABC
1.57 Goals Scored 1.5
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Aguia De Maraba
(Home) 12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1 ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0 Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1 Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1 ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0 Parnahyba
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1 Tocantinopolis
10 May
Aguia De Maraba
5 : 1 Oratorio
06 May
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 5 Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 3
ABC
(Away) 30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1 Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0 ABC
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2 ABC
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1 Luverdense
Page 1 of 7
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0 ABC
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2 ABC
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0 ABC
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1 ABC
21 Jun
AE Altos
0 : 1 ABC
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
