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AI Match Summary
Aguia De Maraba in this Paraense 2024 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aguia De Maraba have won more games recently than Caete.
- Model gives Aguia De Maraba a 51% chance of winning this.
- Aguia De Maraba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Aguia De Maraba, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Aguia De Maraba here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aguia De Maraba | Caete |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 45 | 32 |
| Wins | 24 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.51 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aguia De Maraba Compare
Caete Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aguia De Maraba scored in 82% of their last 45 games.
Caete let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Away concern: Caete has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.