Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguia De Maraba vs Caete

Brazil Brazil

Paraense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Victor Braga
60' Event
Victor Braga

AI Match Summary

Aguia De Maraba in this Paraense 2024 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aguia De Maraba
15%
Draws
34%
Caete
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aguia De Maraba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguia De Maraba have won more games recently than Caete.
  • Model gives Aguia De Maraba a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Aguia De Maraba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aguia De Maraba, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Aguia De Maraba here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 68%
Caete Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguia De Maraba Caete
Matches Played 45 32
Wins 24 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.51 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Caete
1:0
Mar 17, 2024 Paraense
Caete vs Aguia De Maraba
0:2
Mar 9, 2024 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Caete
2:0
Feb 16, 2024 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Caete
1:0
Mar 11, 2023 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Caete
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguia De Maraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor Braga
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Caete Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia De Maraba 50 / 100
Caete 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguia De Maraba Caete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguia De Maraba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia De Maraba scored in 82% of their last 45 games.

Caete let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Away concern: Caete has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aguia De Maraba VS Caete
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguia De Maraba

(Home)
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1
ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0
Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1
Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 9

Caete

(Away)
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1
Caete
16 May
Caete
0 : 0
Canaa
02 May
Caete
3 : 0
Santos PA
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Paysandu PA 6
Bragantino PA 1
Caete 0
Aguia De Maraba 4
Tuna Luso 3
Sao Francisco 2
Remo 5
Santa Rosa 0
Semi-finals
Paysandu PA 5
Aguia De Maraba 1
Tuna Luso 1
Remo 4
Final
Paysandu PA 3
Remo 1