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Stadium Background

Aguia De Maraba vs Galvez

Brazil Brazil

Copa Norte Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira, Marabá
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Patrick
36' Event
Geovani Silva
57' Event
Silva A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Aguia De Maraba
15%
Draws
28%
Galvez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aguia De Maraba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguia De Maraba have won more games recently than Galvez.
  • Model gives Aguia De Maraba a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Aguia De Maraba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aguia De Maraba, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 15%
Galvez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguia De Maraba Galvez
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 18 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.82 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Copa Norte
Aguia De Maraba vs Galvez
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguia De Maraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader PH
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Galvez Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick
1 Goals
Assists Leader Geovani Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia De Maraba 84 / 100
Galvez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguia De Maraba Galvez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguia De Maraba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia De Maraba's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Galvez has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Galvez lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguia De Maraba VS Galvez
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguia De Maraba

(Home)
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1
ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0
Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1
Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
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Galvez

(Away)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Galvez
2 : 6
Porto Velho
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1
Galvez
16 May
Galvez
4 : 2
SC Humaita
09 May
Guapore
1 : 0
Galvez
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 5 4 1 0 14:1 13
2 Paysandu PA 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
3 Guapore 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
4 Trem 5 2 0 3 11:11 6
5 Independencia Futebol Clube 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
6 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 5 1 0 4 10:15 3
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia De Maraba 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Porto Velho 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
3 Amazonas 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
4 Remo 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
5 Galvez 5 1 0 4 9:17 3
6 Monte Roraima 5 0 2 3 9:15 2
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)